Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-01-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 538 121 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 225 146 75 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 147 192 152 115 4 0 0
ODI 0 58 117 258 174 140 1 0
CDI 0 0 20 244 288 406 150 5
VCDI 0 0 0 26 585 2536 10396 14943
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 499 121 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 372 116 62 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 174 252 137 169 11 0 0
ODI 0 59 136 299 295 133 2 0
CDI 0 0 33 269 251 359 128 8
VCDI 0 0 0 82 694 3713 9136 14543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 747 231 43 0 0 0 0
OW 0 253 288 222 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 209 463 185 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 185 514 121 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 370 577 35 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 269 4577 7571 15133
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 453 86 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 183 181 103 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 229 400 151 10 0 0
ODI 0 4 67 301 430 106 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 537 595 47 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 98 4256 7483 16164
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 565 169 66 1 0 0 0
OW 0 109 157 168 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 168 335 211 24 0 0
ODI 0 2 69 205 368 162 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 81 497 592 56 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 116 4189 7474 16163

Date: 2016-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 332 43 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 73 89 31 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 145 298 43 9 0 0
ODI 0 23 92 283 201 27 1 0
CDI 0 5 43 96 339 322 69 22
VCDI 0 0 0 4 152 2751 9703 16799
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 365 89 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 91 85 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 136 365 104 3 0 0
ODI 0 20 49 138 260 86 3 0
CDI 0 4 43 69 194 453 90 6
VCDI 0 0 4 36 165 2567 9680 16815

Date: 2016-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 302 107 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 75 56 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 72 190 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 194 318 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 367 313 21 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 2015 8763 19141
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 267 64 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 54 33 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 81 107 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 54 178 191 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 107 329 147 55 21
VCDI 0 0 0 51 208 2178 8729 19134

Date: 2016-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 240 63 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 43 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 65 66 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 51 83 44 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 110 127 116 46 17
VCDI 0 0 0 17 240 2529 12527 15599
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 227 56 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 23 27 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 71 55 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 52 88 38 6 0 0
CDI 0 11 32 118 124 181 82 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 247 2458 12491 15616

Date: 2016-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 265 37 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 20 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 75 26 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 86 75 26 15 0 0
CDI 0 10 29 109 123 136 15 0
VCDI 0 0 2 65 182 2008 11149 17561
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 236 31 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 10 10 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 26 18 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 93 35 17 8 1 0
CDI 0 5 75 102 86 110 68 6
VCDI 0 0 14 125 223 2041 11095 17555


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