Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-01-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 9 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 59 332 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 52 368 4371 14355 26289
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 21 153 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 260 4891 14568 25911
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 25 48 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 60 306 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 235 3855 13837 27403
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 58 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 0 64 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 6 304 74 0
VCDI 0 0 0 66 356 3685 15653 25532
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 65 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 0 53 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 6 325 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 63 356 3668 15607 25532

Date: 2016-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 14 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 10 29 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 39 56 61 4
VCDI 0 0 0 38 290 2432 13769 29061
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 23 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 7 35 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 34 64 71 6
VCDI 0 0 0 38 298 2409 13750 29059

Date: 2016-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 22 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 82 213 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 256 3868 14500 26800
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 29 41 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 67 139 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 264 3886 14418 26800

Date: 2016-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 16 24 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 86 224 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 348 3942 15788 25299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 5 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 99 193 63 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 346 3989 15830 25299

Date: 2016-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 18 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 13 132 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 271 3284 14291 27759
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 19 37 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 28 189 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 239 3203 14287 27759


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