Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-12-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 63 112 35 17 0 0
CDI 0 0 50 540 207 214 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 272 1067 7241 12234 23784
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 97 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 475 414 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 99 1194 7191 14165 22136
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 228 355 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 100 877 5862 15224 23198
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 29 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 156 330 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 715 4015 14799 25764
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 25 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 156 314 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 719 4034 14794 25764

Date: 2016-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 6 263 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 54 326 4983 13872 26346
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 10 247 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 52 322 5000 13859 26346

Date: 2016-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 42 145 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 268 4307 13984 27043
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 22 93 6 2
VCDI 0 0 0 30 288 4366 14005 27041

Date: 2016-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 2 48 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 76 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 33 372 49 1
VCDI 0 0 0 54 314 4262 15008 25612
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 7 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 80 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 33 375 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 54 314 4292 15038 25613

Date: 2016-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 0 19 34 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 0 17 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 15 145 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 324 2840 15675 26636
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 0 68 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 21 153 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 318 2800 15718 26636


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