Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2015-12-24
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-12-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
68127 |
18910 |
1993 |
432 |
76 |
106 |
5 |
0 |
| OW |
60 |
218 |
365 |
287 |
40 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
134 |
240 |
356 |
128 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
46 |
128 |
318 |
206 |
55 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
86 |
289 |
457 |
97 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
81 |
425 |
1336 |
3705 |
6138 |
4176 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
66358 |
20446 |
2326 |
392 |
67 |
113 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
60 |
473 |
268 |
202 |
18 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
313 |
227 |
319 |
61 |
30 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
173 |
150 |
283 |
74 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
124 |
116 |
324 |
348 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
137 |
294 |
865 |
1509 |
2809 |
5910 |
4180 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
66539 |
20901 |
1883 |
450 |
71 |
64 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
55 |
487 |
349 |
284 |
45 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
193 |
384 |
510 |
127 |
27 |
7 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
26 |
82 |
330 |
179 |
49 |
25 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
39 |
24 |
302 |
413 |
121 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
23 |
69 |
563 |
1180 |
2767 |
6270 |
4230 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
64370 |
21017 |
2944 |
556 |
89 |
53 |
41 |
0 |
| OW |
58 |
332 |
419 |
276 |
53 |
21 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
235 |
277 |
397 |
93 |
23 |
19 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
123 |
292 |
427 |
124 |
33 |
28 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
23 |
75 |
426 |
337 |
157 |
21 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
48 |
81 |
341 |
1395 |
3710 |
6604 |
3570 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
64369 |
21063 |
2959 |
557 |
93 |
52 |
40 |
0 |
| OW |
59 |
293 |
369 |
240 |
53 |
20 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
232 |
292 |
407 |
80 |
23 |
15 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
124 |
302 |
382 |
120 |
27 |
25 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
19 |
85 |
475 |
319 |
168 |
29 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
47 |
81 |
362 |
1426 |
3707 |
6604 |
3570 |
|
Date: 2015-12-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
63128 |
22998 |
2048 |
346 |
98 |
88 |
13 |
0 |
| OW |
60 |
332 |
374 |
298 |
40 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
236 |
344 |
421 |
84 |
37 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
92 |
284 |
411 |
130 |
49 |
16 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
13 |
90 |
590 |
418 |
109 |
19 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
72 |
105 |
507 |
1698 |
3420 |
6233 |
3876 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
63128 |
23001 |
2027 |
364 |
104 |
90 |
13 |
0 |
| OW |
60 |
341 |
366 |
275 |
23 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
213 |
366 |
400 |
104 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
90 |
282 |
432 |
151 |
37 |
10 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
27 |
99 |
574 |
403 |
129 |
26 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
71 |
105 |
528 |
1683 |
3417 |
6233 |
3876 |
|
Date: 2015-12-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
63463 |
21457 |
3572 |
510 |
61 |
53 |
11 |
0 |
| OW |
57 |
87 |
353 |
495 |
28 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
28 |
156 |
615 |
157 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
18 |
21 |
514 |
320 |
73 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
13 |
49 |
282 |
723 |
195 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
221 |
1410 |
3892 |
6923 |
3290 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
63460 |
21197 |
3063 |
373 |
67 |
72 |
11 |
0 |
| OW |
60 |
188 |
403 |
265 |
33 |
15 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
135 |
326 |
439 |
72 |
37 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
25 |
191 |
415 |
161 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
84 |
591 |
407 |
147 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
47 |
96 |
554 |
1959 |
3937 |
6920 |
3290 |
|
Date: 2015-12-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
63153 |
22793 |
2408 |
734 |
106 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
192 |
336 |
400 |
97 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
95 |
241 |
537 |
236 |
61 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
49 |
79 |
396 |
388 |
89 |
14 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
41 |
36 |
286 |
665 |
209 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
40 |
80 |
216 |
1479 |
4571 |
6903 |
2043 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
63151 |
22289 |
2221 |
638 |
135 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
65 |
244 |
299 |
311 |
57 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
244 |
230 |
459 |
162 |
22 |
10 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
161 |
129 |
338 |
321 |
66 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
103 |
172 |
385 |
532 |
193 |
10 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
169 |
129 |
438 |
1764 |
4597 |
6899 |
2043 |
|
Date: 2016-01-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
65837 |
20136 |
2244 |
868 |
130 |
37 |
5 |
0 |
| OW |
66 |
326 |
303 |
356 |
154 |
25 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
146 |
299 |
364 |
247 |
115 |
17 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
40 |
136 |
376 |
388 |
75 |
49 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
26 |
29 |
315 |
576 |
209 |
50 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
42 |
95 |
352 |
787 |
3767 |
8073 |
2032 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
65833 |
19599 |
2153 |
856 |
163 |
53 |
18 |
0 |
| OW |
70 |
409 |
298 |
323 |
123 |
40 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
295 |
209 |
392 |
228 |
68 |
25 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
177 |
129 |
250 |
450 |
128 |
43 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
87 |
163 |
278 |
513 |
227 |
75 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
149 |
154 |
532 |
805 |
3712 |
8036 |
2032 |
|
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