Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2015-12-24
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-12-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
35 |
161 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
95 |
621 |
150 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
195 |
429 |
38 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
307 |
249 |
173 |
26 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
772 |
4623 |
13269 |
24524 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
18 |
205 |
265 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
16 |
564 |
113 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
156 |
476 |
299 |
42 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
525 |
5544 |
15043 |
22545 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
162 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
198 |
486 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
772 |
127 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
688 |
4339 |
15322 |
23582 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
7 |
14 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
53 |
198 |
101 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
37 |
432 |
436 |
171 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
644 |
4274 |
15709 |
23644 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
10 |
15 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
49 |
158 |
104 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
39 |
409 |
360 |
153 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
195 |
716 |
4292 |
15708 |
23644 |
|
Date: 2015-12-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
170 |
64 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
385 |
384 |
277 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
1588 |
7156 |
12594 |
23061 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
149 |
71 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
386 |
332 |
306 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
180 |
1633 |
7130 |
12594 |
23061 |
|
Date: 2015-12-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
108 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
315 |
499 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
998 |
7397 |
13442 |
22993 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
266 |
312 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
1145 |
7586 |
13440 |
22993 |
|
Date: 2015-12-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
183 |
368 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
874 |
4631 |
15386 |
24330 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
45 |
16 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
396 |
16 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
932 |
4545 |
15356 |
24330 |
|
Date: 2016-01-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
59 |
332 |
11 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
368 |
4371 |
14355 |
26289 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
20 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
42 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
30 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
137 |
71 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
421 |
4529 |
14203 |
26289 |
|
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