Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-12-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68127 19376 2186 490 76 106 5 0
OW 60 368 614 335 44 23 0 0
VODI 0 265 1001 652 145 97 0 0
ODI 0 55 344 889 299 112 1 0
CDI 0 26 124 673 841 374 71 7
VCDI 0 9 113 614 2385 9866 27944 48331
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66358 20767 2495 469 75 113 2 0
OW 60 529 401 246 38 29 0 0
VODI 0 397 531 716 88 30 1 0
ODI 0 190 194 971 269 65 0 0
CDI 0 137 142 523 948 420 95 29
VCDI 0 144 343 1033 2272 9399 29919 46610
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66539 21473 2113 532 74 64 7 0
OW 55 713 455 327 77 23 0 0
VODI 0 382 565 803 205 29 7 0
ODI 0 79 182 651 756 113 25 0
CDI 0 39 56 580 1329 500 14 8
VCDI 0 23 69 731 2195 9065 29705 46485
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64370 21352 3112 613 103 53 41 0
OW 58 485 546 322 81 24 12 0
VODI 0 406 410 501 123 56 19 0
ODI 0 202 474 791 314 109 28 0
CDI 0 32 193 1132 982 891 117 20
VCDI 0 48 82 553 2533 11807 32628 41425
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64369 21420 3145 614 109 52 40 0
OW 59 454 480 288 84 26 12 0
VODI 0 405 441 536 108 54 15 0
ODI 0 180 498 723 309 98 25 0
CDI 0 19 172 1144 912 858 134 20
VCDI 0 47 81 607 2614 11852 32619 41425

Date: 2015-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63128 23465 2170 367 98 88 13 0
OW 60 536 475 385 40 22 0 0
VODI 0 466 506 552 84 37 1 0
ODI 0 256 413 744 291 93 16 0
CDI 0 86 221 1193 1011 674 133 21
VCDI 0 72 120 937 3751 13739 29031 41753
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63128 23496 2161 397 104 90 13 0
OW 60 530 469 371 23 16 0 0
VODI 0 490 547 565 107 36 0 0
ODI 0 258 443 738 338 94 10 0
CDI 0 36 178 1245 961 730 122 18
VCDI 0 71 107 862 3742 13687 29049 41756

Date: 2015-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63463 22014 3933 619 61 53 11 0
OW 57 247 592 676 28 17 0 0
VODI 0 69 404 1047 178 18 0 0
ODI 0 18 45 750 715 101 2 0
CDI 0 13 49 357 1320 1155 67 37
VCDI 0 0 12 325 2704 14475 30590 40826
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63460 21517 3159 396 67 72 11 0
OW 60 286 499 324 33 15 1 0
VODI 0 368 573 668 76 37 1 0
ODI 0 128 462 668 252 98 0 0
CDI 0 15 246 924 970 778 34 0
VCDI 0 47 96 794 3608 14819 30623 40863

Date: 2015-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63153 23219 2526 783 106 39 0 0
OW 63 297 458 491 118 18 0 0
VODI 0 164 406 741 382 67 0 0
ODI 0 67 173 657 676 190 14 0
CDI 0 41 44 417 1149 1023 30 18
VCDI 0 40 80 279 2542 12103 31182 43292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63151 22567 2293 642 135 74 0 0
OW 65 301 328 338 57 41 0 0
VODI 0 346 323 545 180 44 10 0
ODI 0 295 264 428 433 138 21 0
CDI 0 150 324 694 897 889 63 1
VCDI 0 169 155 721 3271 12254 31132 43309

Date: 2016-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65837 20674 2365 877 130 37 5 0
OW 66 551 449 431 165 25 8 0
VODI 0 293 491 516 362 123 17 0
ODI 0 98 253 634 571 230 50 0
CDI 0 26 49 560 923 947 211 5
VCDI 0 42 95 430 1740 10674 32824 43264
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65833 19942 2199 857 163 53 18 0
OW 70 471 335 330 123 49 25 0
VODI 0 443 269 438 231 105 67 0
ODI 0 370 224 333 509 165 73 0
CDI 0 226 360 500 786 647 230 13
VCDI 0 232 315 990 2079 11017 32702 43256


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh to. 01. juni 01:31:26 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy