Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2015-12-17
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-12-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
65668 |
20621 |
3193 |
653 |
143 |
98 |
31 |
0 |
| OW |
56 |
497 |
260 |
298 |
88 |
55 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
419 |
181 |
269 |
201 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
261 |
288 |
241 |
250 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
69 |
454 |
478 |
152 |
5 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
137 |
613 |
2910 |
6867 |
3603 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
62131 |
24298 |
2696 |
526 |
206 |
98 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
54 |
472 |
396 |
189 |
66 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
277 |
239 |
305 |
121 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
181 |
206 |
339 |
94 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
152 |
231 |
438 |
328 |
101 |
3 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
235 |
932 |
3229 |
6818 |
3628 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
65418 |
20988 |
3296 |
637 |
91 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
55 |
182 |
298 |
359 |
53 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
70 |
248 |
485 |
210 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
103 |
422 |
331 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
25 |
149 |
596 |
128 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
104 |
677 |
3836 |
6325 |
3867 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
67816 |
19096 |
2227 |
474 |
56 |
85 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
55 |
240 |
332 |
271 |
33 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
154 |
215 |
362 |
149 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
53 |
124 |
309 |
212 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
107 |
417 |
369 |
104 |
5 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
52 |
342 |
1367 |
3240 |
6467 |
4263 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
67816 |
19032 |
2238 |
495 |
53 |
75 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
55 |
264 |
297 |
239 |
34 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
183 |
225 |
339 |
156 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
58 |
129 |
305 |
202 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
12 |
79 |
382 |
330 |
96 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
89 |
415 |
1411 |
3250 |
6468 |
4263 |
|
Date: 2015-12-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
63246 |
23111 |
2592 |
479 |
98 |
94 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
56 |
405 |
285 |
241 |
45 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
259 |
201 |
324 |
117 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
194 |
99 |
271 |
164 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
130 |
111 |
247 |
426 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
45 |
249 |
455 |
1682 |
3165 |
6250 |
3874 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
63246 |
23117 |
2613 |
486 |
89 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
56 |
385 |
254 |
233 |
49 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
260 |
196 |
289 |
126 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
182 |
96 |
271 |
137 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
127 |
105 |
269 |
369 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
73 |
273 |
469 |
1762 |
3176 |
6250 |
3874 |
|
Date: 2015-12-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
66956 |
20869 |
2169 |
428 |
73 |
71 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
55 |
317 |
571 |
453 |
18 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
43 |
176 |
489 |
110 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
16 |
46 |
309 |
244 |
51 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
46 |
282 |
451 |
172 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
31 |
471 |
1169 |
2548 |
6067 |
4335 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
66920 |
20163 |
1832 |
354 |
81 |
76 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
91 |
360 |
346 |
226 |
14 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
335 |
196 |
287 |
76 |
57 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
140 |
139 |
246 |
98 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
97 |
150 |
298 |
266 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
158 |
376 |
1021 |
1530 |
2629 |
6067 |
4335 |
|
Date: 2015-12-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
65765 |
20691 |
2143 |
608 |
95 |
66 |
26 |
0 |
| OW |
65 |
344 |
340 |
263 |
68 |
16 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
224 |
293 |
397 |
137 |
22 |
23 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
74 |
224 |
521 |
193 |
41 |
32 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
25 |
33 |
333 |
379 |
188 |
13 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
49 |
62 |
481 |
1405 |
3232 |
6105 |
4111 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
65761 |
20119 |
1976 |
480 |
86 |
59 |
28 |
0 |
| OW |
69 |
469 |
235 |
242 |
34 |
24 |
14 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
356 |
236 |
292 |
109 |
21 |
47 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
229 |
193 |
178 |
114 |
52 |
18 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
86 |
197 |
356 |
307 |
111 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
148 |
258 |
1055 |
1627 |
3298 |
6105 |
4111 |
|
Date: 2015-12-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
66148 |
19921 |
2330 |
363 |
90 |
79 |
31 |
0 |
| OW |
69 |
421 |
441 |
228 |
16 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
282 |
337 |
468 |
61 |
31 |
9 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
124 |
268 |
474 |
74 |
30 |
25 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
28 |
78 |
403 |
415 |
55 |
33 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
62 |
121 |
384 |
1600 |
3674 |
6554 |
3340 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
66147 |
19175 |
2069 |
391 |
100 |
76 |
31 |
0 |
| OW |
70 |
512 |
325 |
140 |
11 |
31 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
415 |
303 |
198 |
46 |
48 |
32 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
269 |
218 |
191 |
40 |
35 |
30 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
257 |
220 |
243 |
245 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
210 |
440 |
1157 |
1814 |
3608 |
6554 |
3340 |
|
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