Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector
Bulletin date: 2015-12-17
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-12-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
504 |
240 |
71 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
24 |
96 |
115 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
8 |
40 |
169 |
84 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
28 |
111 |
101 |
86 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
32 |
82 |
99 |
322 |
29 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
331 |
2160 |
9872 |
17375 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
447 |
243 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
131 |
91 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
38 |
132 |
115 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
70 |
153 |
54 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
37 |
133 |
196 |
60 |
20 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
92 |
358 |
3312 |
8236 |
17942 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
508 |
354 |
121 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
38 |
157 |
87 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
56 |
83 |
154 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
44 |
136 |
95 |
18 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
16 |
57 |
195 |
360 |
55 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
181 |
2652 |
8292 |
18273 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-12-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
546 |
204 |
63 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
143 |
111 |
24 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
22 |
105 |
158 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
21 |
153 |
67 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
15 |
40 |
88 |
131 |
134 |
63 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
108 |
320 |
2014 |
8503 |
18962 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
534 |
203 |
64 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
142 |
122 |
42 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
35 |
94 |
167 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
16 |
29 |
118 |
91 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
18 |
39 |
99 |
112 |
149 |
41 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
104 |
296 |
1992 |
8525 |
18962 |
|
Date: 2015-12-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
431 |
138 |
54 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
121 |
84 |
22 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
58 |
125 |
129 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
9 |
19 |
108 |
89 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
13 |
21 |
64 |
100 |
127 |
40 |
17 |
| VCDI |
0 |
7 |
36 |
115 |
236 |
1282 |
9326 |
19258 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
463 |
151 |
62 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
92 |
94 |
42 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
59 |
104 |
137 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
21 |
75 |
77 |
50 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
12 |
26 |
63 |
74 |
152 |
47 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
27 |
113 |
238 |
1209 |
9318 |
19262 |
|
Date: 2015-12-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
523 |
371 |
79 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
70 |
167 |
111 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
40 |
195 |
233 |
65 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
154 |
91 |
67 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
195 |
159 |
109 |
27 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
165 |
915 |
8383 |
19876 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
351 |
282 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
101 |
56 |
32 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
101 |
172 |
76 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
45 |
93 |
123 |
23 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
27 |
53 |
104 |
129 |
45 |
57 |
25 |
| VCDI |
0 |
8 |
82 |
228 |
355 |
1110 |
8439 |
19878 |
|
Date: 2015-12-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
382 |
211 |
83 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
177 |
165 |
32 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
166 |
166 |
125 |
76 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
85 |
169 |
163 |
83 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
95 |
192 |
168 |
401 |
16 |
14 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
389 |
3105 |
7770 |
17630 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
346 |
181 |
61 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
93 |
103 |
41 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
175 |
75 |
38 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
134 |
113 |
39 |
33 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
51 |
159 |
99 |
47 |
137 |
27 |
38 |
| VCDI |
0 |
11 |
175 |
413 |
610 |
3432 |
7759 |
17606 |
|
Date: 2015-12-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
368 |
125 |
47 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
110 |
138 |
73 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
121 |
222 |
88 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
59 |
173 |
177 |
102 |
37 |
0 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
14 |
105 |
278 |
197 |
450 |
96 |
20 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
153 |
421 |
3743 |
10570 |
14101 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
276 |
116 |
38 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
58 |
70 |
81 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
90 |
145 |
43 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
67 |
124 |
51 |
40 |
9 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
102 |
87 |
106 |
81 |
156 |
38 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
79 |
225 |
497 |
609 |
4065 |
10626 |
14122 |
|
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