Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-12-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 539 355 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 304 427 56 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 308 332 25 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 230 222 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 72 434 332 8 2
VCDI 0 0 0 49 677 4593 12749 24014
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 110 255 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 235 434 132 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 115 199 410 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 23 245 264 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 445 338 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 495 3740 12426 25870
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 83 90 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 436 267 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 131 544 61 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 229 307 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 342 508 4 11
VCDI 0 0 0 94 432 3253 15139 23786
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 107 137 49 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 532 333 18 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 174 433 81 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 242 334 228 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 81 680 3990 12836 25458
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 4 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 106 242 73 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 449 373 16 43 0 0
ODI 0 2 141 419 102 35 0 0
CDI 0 0 10 197 378 245 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 73 617 3974 12834 25458

Date: 2015-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 27 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 452 334 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 90 500 90 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 250 391 247 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 97 848 5591 13645 23129
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 2 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 33 158 78 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 361 367 3 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 50 456 152 88 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 203 370 282 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 95 804 5532 13639 23129

Date: 2015-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 15 27 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 385 117 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 150 438 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 458 442 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 347 4616 16264 22522
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 164 96 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 256 335 65 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 117 466 381 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 72 459 4630 16264 22522

Date: 2015-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 51 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 60 216 231 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 9 356 554 244 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 161 731 3700 15671 23847
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 4 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 35 147 219 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 266 517 242 9 0
VCDI 0 0 38 367 758 3721 15664 23847

Date: 2015-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 63 112 35 17 0 0
CDI 0 0 50 540 207 214 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 272 1067 7241 12234 23784
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 23 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 86 179 23 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 265 187 248 4 0
VCDI 0 0 27 463 1099 7190 12233 23784


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh to. 01. juni 00:58:24 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy