Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2015-11-26
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-11-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
74080 |
16648 |
2346 |
622 |
289 |
130 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
394 |
331 |
252 |
85 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
92 |
255 |
521 |
136 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
18 |
50 |
443 |
299 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
34 |
260 |
712 |
90 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
113 |
1198 |
1947 |
4431 |
3284 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-11-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
73820 |
16054 |
2524 |
719 |
283 |
195 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
370 |
441 |
372 |
123 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
155 |
149 |
604 |
203 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
39 |
481 |
461 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
182 |
716 |
168 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
877 |
2009 |
4640 |
3436 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-11-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
69717 |
19290 |
3081 |
793 |
225 |
203 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
31 |
222 |
435 |
455 |
91 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
215 |
257 |
503 |
316 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
36 |
169 |
681 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
69 |
602 |
718 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
89 |
546 |
2329 |
3778 |
4189 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-11-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
72910 |
16712 |
2246 |
498 |
214 |
135 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
37 |
330 |
331 |
296 |
53 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
287 |
307 |
478 |
179 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
66 |
60 |
230 |
458 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
36 |
141 |
651 |
167 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
25 |
127 |
673 |
3531 |
3439 |
4456 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
72911 |
16630 |
2262 |
511 |
233 |
135 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
36 |
400 |
293 |
278 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
295 |
297 |
433 |
181 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
72 |
93 |
273 |
497 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
150 |
614 |
227 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
25 |
125 |
663 |
3460 |
3439 |
4456 |
|
Date: 2015-11-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75635 |
14229 |
1517 |
331 |
229 |
225 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
57 |
499 |
248 |
176 |
15 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
356 |
330 |
346 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
244 |
216 |
439 |
140 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
31 |
62 |
194 |
545 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
17 |
106 |
225 |
1059 |
3753 |
3540 |
4259 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75633 |
14319 |
1521 |
341 |
238 |
240 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
59 |
368 |
233 |
165 |
12 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
380 |
294 |
345 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
241 |
230 |
393 |
168 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
51 |
98 |
223 |
518 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
17 |
103 |
244 |
1043 |
3726 |
3540 |
4259 |
|
Date: 2015-11-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
73868 |
16158 |
2001 |
426 |
227 |
165 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
50 |
420 |
307 |
439 |
35 |
91 |
37 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
77 |
174 |
448 |
156 |
15 |
16 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
14 |
62 |
166 |
306 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
54 |
171 |
572 |
118 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
444 |
3427 |
4232 |
4355 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
73863 |
15692 |
1548 |
304 |
227 |
261 |
61 |
0 |
| OW |
55 |
374 |
265 |
113 |
24 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
269 |
288 |
250 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
195 |
199 |
293 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
133 |
214 |
488 |
394 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
10 |
84 |
258 |
947 |
3486 |
4233 |
4355 |
|
Date: 2015-12-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
67843 |
21210 |
2683 |
338 |
66 |
89 |
53 |
0 |
| OW |
44 |
499 |
380 |
292 |
67 |
55 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
270 |
275 |
413 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
37 |
83 |
311 |
192 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
39 |
219 |
319 |
54 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
26 |
151 |
935 |
3669 |
4109 |
4264 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
67838 |
20714 |
2419 |
300 |
112 |
144 |
58 |
0 |
| OW |
49 |
406 |
283 |
142 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
367 |
235 |
238 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
282 |
147 |
230 |
144 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
219 |
232 |
324 |
311 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
29 |
170 |
490 |
1012 |
3653 |
4110 |
4264 |
|
Date: 2015-12-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
68363 |
20502 |
2356 |
303 |
86 |
110 |
18 |
0 |
| OW |
84 |
748 |
308 |
239 |
48 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
456 |
240 |
296 |
78 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
133 |
199 |
306 |
108 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
45 |
92 |
309 |
232 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
40 |
238 |
1032 |
3300 |
5160 |
3600 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
68356 |
20084 |
2228 |
315 |
104 |
117 |
18 |
0 |
| OW |
73 |
414 |
252 |
164 |
52 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
18 |
442 |
190 |
182 |
102 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
312 |
183 |
191 |
113 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
309 |
148 |
317 |
210 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
323 |
234 |
522 |
1003 |
3295 |
5160 |
3600 |
|
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