Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2015-11-19
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-11-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75332 |
16478 |
1692 |
473 |
205 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
36 |
593 |
215 |
205 |
90 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
159 |
247 |
279 |
269 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
120 |
257 |
532 |
31 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
85 |
224 |
843 |
266 |
27 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
155 |
834 |
1878 |
4135 |
3405 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-11-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
72340 |
18003 |
2639 |
500 |
207 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
31 |
622 |
213 |
264 |
59 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
337 |
253 |
309 |
214 |
24 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
137 |
231 |
463 |
41 |
11 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
88 |
234 |
544 |
414 |
39 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
203 |
530 |
2224 |
4149 |
3692 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-11-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
71773 |
18818 |
3564 |
530 |
157 |
89 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
175 |
249 |
344 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
28 |
135 |
331 |
188 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
25 |
192 |
565 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
169 |
682 |
641 |
27 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
302 |
2614 |
4304 |
3109 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-11-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75630 |
15488 |
2185 |
577 |
261 |
120 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
313 |
268 |
346 |
44 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
49 |
129 |
588 |
115 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
21 |
49 |
326 |
282 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
37 |
271 |
830 |
87 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
143 |
1273 |
2029 |
4400 |
3181 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75630 |
15492 |
2165 |
586 |
269 |
121 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
316 |
292 |
325 |
39 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
43 |
124 |
559 |
97 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
20 |
49 |
344 |
298 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
38 |
286 |
779 |
67 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
20 |
151 |
1323 |
2042 |
4400 |
3181 |
|
Date: 2015-11-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75272 |
15381 |
2021 |
724 |
295 |
174 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
480 |
336 |
272 |
104 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
166 |
250 |
501 |
158 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
104 |
463 |
326 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
267 |
598 |
150 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
87 |
1040 |
1768 |
4362 |
3726 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
75274 |
15447 |
2017 |
723 |
298 |
174 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
428 |
302 |
254 |
93 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
153 |
263 |
495 |
152 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
102 |
391 |
370 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
45 |
304 |
399 |
148 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
147 |
1209 |
1767 |
4362 |
3726 |
|
Date: 2015-11-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
74009 |
15861 |
2642 |
778 |
256 |
132 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
57 |
380 |
240 |
585 |
107 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
7 |
150 |
53 |
747 |
239 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
183 |
883 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
824 |
525 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
241 |
1955 |
4328 |
3838 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
74073 |
15870 |
2247 |
773 |
308 |
133 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
381 |
299 |
318 |
113 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
134 |
278 |
436 |
196 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
79 |
466 |
447 |
78 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
29 |
251 |
530 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
96 |
956 |
2341 |
4328 |
3838 |
|
Date: 2015-11-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
73873 |
15538 |
2585 |
572 |
212 |
191 |
14 |
0 |
| OW |
38 |
280 |
360 |
387 |
63 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
270 |
289 |
477 |
285 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
31 |
39 |
187 |
552 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
26 |
90 |
620 |
512 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
87 |
464 |
2985 |
3542 |
4470 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
73911 |
15404 |
2331 |
519 |
216 |
194 |
14 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
436 |
228 |
220 |
57 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
241 |
446 |
383 |
196 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
23 |
178 |
247 |
314 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
14 |
75 |
207 |
571 |
278 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
53 |
224 |
842 |
3171 |
3542 |
4470 |
|
Date: 2015-11-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
71924 |
16539 |
3161 |
444 |
234 |
150 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
49 |
369 |
341 |
226 |
36 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
342 |
329 |
457 |
81 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
140 |
140 |
327 |
267 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
6 |
49 |
166 |
589 |
109 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
54 |
166 |
770 |
4075 |
3235 |
4307 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
71973 |
16229 |
2919 |
434 |
246 |
149 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
414 |
274 |
120 |
40 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
501 |
296 |
234 |
79 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
194 |
335 |
342 |
149 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
41 |
111 |
278 |
383 |
259 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
17 |
139 |
378 |
1080 |
3889 |
3235 |
4307 |
|
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