Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-11-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76374 26271 4528 679 58 0 0 0
OW 25 1145 1117 588 77 1 0 0
VODI 2 764 1182 1512 431 37 0 0
ODI 0 110 226 758 1029 282 0 0
CDI 0 8 24 264 1092 1735 159 28
VCDI 0 0 2 120 1363 7891 17027 40139
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77119 24116 4018 708 184 3 0 0
OW 25 1441 1250 476 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 708 919 1211 410 50 0 0
ODI 0 154 235 1275 870 209 0 0
CDI 0 9 60 248 1121 1184 93 57
VCDI 0 0 1 134 1467 9909 16957 40347
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74858 26340 4382 768 252 48 0 0
OW 33 1033 954 961 237 6 0 0
VODI 0 395 819 1164 527 46 0 0
ODI 0 36 118 717 1512 294 11 0
CDI 0 0 12 233 1233 1208 156 23
VCDI 0 0 0 130 2247 11831 17009 37455
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77379 22592 3817 748 217 0 0 0
OW 82 1661 949 807 232 4 0 0
VODI 0 575 763 1189 653 66 0 0
ODI 0 53 275 778 911 199 4 0
CDI 0 0 116 457 1618 946 148 32
VCDI 0 0 2 295 1754 11946 19301 36479
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77453 23033 3843 787 218 0 0 0
OW 8 1311 866 672 216 5 0 0
VODI 0 494 814 1262 602 80 0 0
ODI 0 40 247 724 969 234 3 0
CDI 0 3 138 538 1485 889 172 39
VCDI 0 0 14 291 1895 11953 19278 36472

Date: 2015-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75951 22810 3441 917 269 0 0 0
OW 97 1662 821 944 270 6 0 0
VODI 0 920 808 1059 699 135 2 0
ODI 0 30 282 917 1040 247 19 1
CDI 0 1 127 537 1280 1034 192 27
VCDI 0 0 18 330 1737 9521 20455 38442
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76008 23323 3536 940 283 1 0 0
OW 40 1204 650 865 251 23 0 0
VODI 0 873 889 1056 663 136 6 0
ODI 0 17 238 904 1040 207 16 0
CDI 0 6 132 542 1234 997 214 38
VCDI 0 0 52 397 1824 9579 20432 38432

Date: 2015-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74657 26267 4675 875 207 36 0 0
OW 0 216 819 1234 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 212 1240 667 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 38 343 1664 209 5 0
CDI 0 0 5 166 1209 2238 137 4
VCDI 0 0 0 88 937 8613 19118 41051
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74606 24059 3514 773 257 36 0 0
OW 51 1324 816 748 176 6 0 0
VODI 0 974 824 1074 554 121 0 0
ODI 0 127 339 668 901 231 16 0
CDI 0 4 184 277 1303 755 104 4
VCDI 0 0 72 406 1602 9951 19140 41051

Date: 2015-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74498 25229 4976 758 167 128 0 0
OW 0 781 1149 902 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 476 1284 353 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 72 513 1081 106 3 1
CDI 0 0 20 321 1641 970 52 76
VCDI 0 0 1 233 1314 10885 19583 39293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74360 23223 4187 802 219 129 0 0
OW 138 1699 832 716 144 6 0 0
VODI 0 1023 982 815 495 94 0 0
ODI 0 116 393 678 658 245 5 0
CDI 0 35 134 396 1321 588 119 50
VCDI 0 10 166 604 1805 11027 19514 39320

Date: 2015-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74390 24184 4412 804 322 130 0 0
OW 0 1668 1216 749 264 5 0 0
VODI 0 229 682 1274 451 23 0 0
ODI 0 19 144 919 852 218 30 0
CDI 0 3 37 465 1552 804 162 18
VCDI 0 0 1 226 2177 10410 20878 37330
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74387 22660 4141 950 427 136 0 0
OW 3 1921 887 656 330 30 0 0
VODI 0 1159 821 778 530 135 17 0
ODI 0 229 382 694 586 432 53 0
CDI 0 52 156 479 994 852 301 7
VCDI 0 82 105 880 2751 10005 20699 37341


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh on. 31. mai 22:17:08 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy