Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-10-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81252 14828 1504 358 64 11 0 0
OW 0 307 89 128 61 32 0 0
VODI 0 159 108 111 116 60 0 0
ODI 0 18 92 121 105 119 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 126 277 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 110 1224 3198 4399
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81139 14925 1517 261 151 0 0 0
OW 0 305 86 91 28 14 0 0
VODI 0 232 50 106 82 26 0 0
ODI 0 124 46 49 97 54 0 0
CDI 0 6 115 58 80 157 0 0
VCDI 0 0 36 162 244 2153 2953 3753
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80738 14765 1894 502 117 0 0 0
OW 0 354 63 147 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 69 125 110 19 0 0
ODI 0 1 44 59 112 67 0 0
CDI 0 0 11 76 114 266 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 151 1608 3712 3840
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78345 16345 2057 390 90 0 0 0
OW 0 527 129 122 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 288 85 115 100 4 0 0
ODI 0 58 56 36 133 42 0 0
CDI 0 0 34 60 134 293 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 79 213 1490 3751 4077
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78345 16547 2022 367 110 0 0 0
OW 0 352 107 95 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 260 92 110 75 12 0 0
ODI 0 53 46 58 102 51 0 0
CDI 0 6 47 31 143 180 0 0
VCDI 0 0 47 141 252 1586 3751 4077

Date: 2015-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80545 14459 1442 389 99 0 0 0
OW 0 486 195 123 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 295 226 123 102 0 0 0
ODI 0 90 165 82 122 31 0 0
CDI 0 5 53 54 157 259 1 0
VCDI 0 0 16 84 177 1487 3559 4227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80545 14647 1466 358 110 0 0 0
OW 0 365 145 99 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 227 255 119 81 2 0 0
ODI 0 65 125 110 101 38 0 0
CDI 0 27 48 33 158 156 0 0
VCDI 0 4 58 136 222 1581 3560 4227

Date: 2015-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76184 17682 1623 423 69 0 0 0
OW 8 1215 338 179 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 336 225 313 107 1 0 0
ODI 0 6 33 107 196 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 29 57 107 237 2 0
VCDI 0 0 2 46 130 1317 4055 4008
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76192 18398 1579 397 84 0 0 0
OW 0 402 248 124 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 275 120 152 68 8 0 0
ODI 0 85 140 159 110 34 0 0
CDI 0 46 42 128 146 106 2 0
VCDI 0 33 121 165 204 1433 4055 4008

Date: 2015-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75071 17620 1843 500 58 0 0 0
OW 5 723 504 338 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 336 391 629 101 7 0 0
ODI 0 9 40 160 265 29 0 0
CDI 0 4 37 29 181 147 5 0
VCDI 0 0 25 93 173 1390 4177 4149
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75076 18141 2294 585 69 0 0 0
OW 0 268 236 399 44 5 0 0
VODI 0 176 120 292 66 12 0 0
ODI 0 77 56 228 116 36 0 0
CDI 0 28 60 99 319 95 8 0
VCDI 0 2 74 146 225 1425 4174 4149

Date: 2015-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75373 16450 1633 486 58 0 0 0
OW 25 666 348 253 62 0 0 0
VODI 2 685 590 541 122 16 0 0
ODI 0 110 193 238 275 46 0 0
CDI 0 8 23 65 350 242 11 0
VCDI 0 0 2 50 204 1446 4367 4160
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75400 17328 2097 517 57 0 0 0
OW 0 370 338 446 61 2 0 0
VODI 0 159 192 264 98 22 0 0
ODI 0 46 78 215 193 42 0 0
CDI 0 16 60 75 360 185 3 0
VCDI 0 0 24 116 302 1499 4375 4160


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 31. mai 21:09:14 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy