Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2015-10-29
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-10-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2828 |
9368 |
1741 |
373 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
381 |
421 |
331 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
261 |
554 |
716 |
161 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
109 |
294 |
470 |
322 |
93 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
40 |
192 |
378 |
224 |
40 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
427 |
1750 |
5773 |
18429 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-10-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2604 |
9289 |
1531 |
296 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
398 |
268 |
250 |
192 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
238 |
456 |
714 |
258 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
105 |
278 |
654 |
240 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
88 |
521 |
330 |
163 |
18 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
208 |
904 |
2099 |
5242 |
18382 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-10-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2962 |
8729 |
1623 |
310 |
32 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
452 |
460 |
311 |
12 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
66 |
285 |
1021 |
238 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
51 |
648 |
910 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
163 |
478 |
276 |
1 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
549 |
1858 |
5078 |
19113 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-10-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2458 |
8172 |
1875 |
166 |
63 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
567 |
459 |
343 |
102 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
130 |
343 |
534 |
120 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
105 |
594 |
698 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
412 |
753 |
332 |
14 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
701 |
2132 |
5510 |
19035 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2458 |
8244 |
1872 |
238 |
70 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
363 |
271 |
193 |
120 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
213 |
255 |
270 |
200 |
149 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
48 |
221 |
335 |
297 |
167 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
146 |
671 |
912 |
196 |
8 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
27 |
438 |
838 |
2085 |
5516 |
19037 |
|
Date: 2015-10-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2720 |
7858 |
1203 |
111 |
19 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
442 |
395 |
402 |
195 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
145 |
333 |
468 |
259 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
51 |
496 |
288 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
552 |
727 |
474 |
85 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
885 |
2233 |
5702 |
19652 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2720 |
7996 |
1287 |
172 |
44 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
278 |
311 |
301 |
194 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
115 |
256 |
348 |
237 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
56 |
99 |
337 |
105 |
209 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
513 |
417 |
372 |
95 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
447 |
1376 |
2106 |
5685 |
19658 |
|
Date: 2015-11-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1126 |
9070 |
2011 |
128 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
277 |
414 |
276 |
14 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
9 |
139 |
457 |
248 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
396 |
816 |
156 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
200 |
854 |
691 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
611 |
2532 |
5530 |
19840 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1126 |
8714 |
1933 |
221 |
19 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
319 |
205 |
118 |
74 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
210 |
223 |
252 |
335 |
124 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
108 |
115 |
142 |
146 |
130 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
83 |
260 |
330 |
474 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
505 |
1641 |
2645 |
5530 |
19840 |
|
Date: 2015-11-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1054 |
8768 |
1633 |
161 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
340 |
354 |
204 |
28 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
94 |
313 |
437 |
217 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
59 |
164 |
534 |
120 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
235 |
942 |
562 |
3 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
809 |
3120 |
6044 |
19512 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1054 |
8620 |
1737 |
339 |
60 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
328 |
206 |
95 |
97 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
179 |
235 |
241 |
331 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
77 |
109 |
109 |
280 |
169 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
69 |
188 |
375 |
422 |
2 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
16 |
300 |
1427 |
3150 |
6045 |
19516 |
|
Date: 2015-11-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1001 |
7774 |
2102 |
175 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
304 |
456 |
102 |
9 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
65 |
426 |
470 |
105 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
220 |
323 |
109 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
164 |
444 |
716 |
14 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
1031 |
3935 |
5437 |
20385 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
1001 |
7779 |
2168 |
363 |
37 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
256 |
428 |
120 |
65 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
88 |
322 |
271 |
164 |
167 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
20 |
87 |
167 |
247 |
336 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
145 |
270 |
565 |
13 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
1129 |
3690 |
5438 |
20386 |
|
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