Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-10-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81722 15331 1365 405 150 144 0 0
OW 0 245 58 118 127 36 0 0
VODI 0 150 63 106 124 100 0 0
ODI 0 2 70 63 108 99 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 86 128 285 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 1238 2670 4034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82074 14585 1514 465 229 41 0 0
OW 0 237 68 100 137 13 0 0
VODI 0 232 67 108 143 100 0 0
ODI 0 18 94 42 108 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 29 92 106 407 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 75 985 3195 3705
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82322 14314 1318 436 90 58 0 0
OW 2 272 102 149 95 38 0 0
VODI 0 66 115 148 138 93 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 121 152 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 183 468 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1155 3549 3575
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81263 14985 1453 410 101 25 0 0
OW 0 245 86 134 52 30 0 0
VODI 0 133 124 108 131 76 0 0
ODI 0 13 33 126 130 112 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 79 149 328 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 59 1216 3603 3888
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81263 15023 1435 406 102 20 0 0
OW 0 167 116 116 50 32 0 0
VODI 0 141 130 148 112 64 0 0
ODI 0 45 15 134 149 116 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 176 328 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 33 1227 3604 3888

Date: 2015-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79518 16460 1514 336 97 2 0 0
OW 0 305 105 93 62 9 0 0
VODI 0 180 128 132 86 42 0 0
ODI 0 34 128 94 118 87 0 0
CDI 0 0 9 113 128 179 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 168 1874 3221 3836
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79518 16546 1511 322 100 0 0 0
OW 0 204 83 102 51 9 0 0
VODI 0 151 159 130 85 31 0 0
ODI 0 78 124 98 100 72 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 123 162 181 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 161 1900 3221 3836

Date: 2015-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79965 16172 1675 373 136 0 0 0
OW 0 245 105 119 39 2 0 0
VODI 0 11 113 115 97 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 50 68 125 57 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 67 113 341 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 147 1705 3288 3895
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79965 15840 1610 370 143 0 0 0
OW 0 240 64 91 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 186 48 101 68 41 0 0
ODI 0 122 36 47 83 44 0 0
CDI 0 35 90 23 95 168 0 0
VCDI 0 5 107 150 217 1876 3289 3895

Date: 2015-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79101 15755 2220 420 149 0 0 0
OW 0 395 88 125 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 212 77 107 106 12 0 0
ODI 0 11 57 45 140 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 26 71 100 236 0 0
VCDI 0 0 1 61 170 1514 3771 4034
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79101 15489 2153 390 168 0 0 0
OW 0 520 93 126 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 284 79 100 84 14 0 0
ODI 0 72 41 53 99 53 0 0
CDI 0 8 76 32 107 126 0 0
VCDI 0 0 27 128 209 1619 3771 4034

Date: 2015-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79840 15004 1667 390 63 0 0 0
OW 0 565 173 131 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 389 91 127 91 5 0 0
ODI 0 106 58 56 126 29 0 0
CDI 0 0 35 66 143 260 0 0
VCDI 0 0 3 72 235 1184 4232 3917
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79840 14915 1614 461 164 0 0 0
OW 0 817 211 70 45 29 0 0
VODI 0 275 113 105 68 66 0 0
ODI 0 57 71 92 71 80 0 0
CDI 0 0 18 80 132 145 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 34 220 1158 4215 3917


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 31. mai 20:39:23 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy