Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2015-10-22
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-10-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2855 |
11100 |
2547 |
256 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
512 |
590 |
691 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
400 |
302 |
746 |
562 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
68 |
22 |
180 |
527 |
179 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
81 |
288 |
617 |
31 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
182 |
1216 |
5060 |
16741 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-10-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2366 |
10741 |
2450 |
223 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
584 |
815 |
460 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
316 |
411 |
695 |
556 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
139 |
93 |
235 |
417 |
415 |
56 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
355 |
431 |
230 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
184 |
828 |
5737 |
16939 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-10-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2715 |
10392 |
2516 |
271 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
550 |
658 |
339 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
238 |
404 |
630 |
151 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
377 |
358 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
761 |
659 |
6 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
155 |
903 |
5767 |
17858 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-10-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3195 |
9250 |
1769 |
340 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
472 |
630 |
398 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
294 |
567 |
729 |
184 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
38 |
193 |
442 |
265 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
196 |
531 |
266 |
17 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
373 |
1723 |
5932 |
17934 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3195 |
9336 |
1868 |
485 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
442 |
601 |
299 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
249 |
544 |
668 |
156 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
27 |
142 |
475 |
275 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
175 |
548 |
251 |
21 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
362 |
1733 |
5928 |
17934 |
|
Date: 2015-10-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3280 |
8746 |
1711 |
326 |
107 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
369 |
314 |
268 |
94 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
290 |
615 |
634 |
199 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
118 |
369 |
471 |
343 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
83 |
176 |
306 |
247 |
6 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
159 |
598 |
1856 |
5961 |
18125 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
3280 |
8717 |
1785 |
346 |
86 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
408 |
278 |
350 |
164 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
295 |
596 |
511 |
149 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
101 |
367 |
477 |
296 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
56 |
191 |
347 |
226 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
159 |
605 |
1897 |
5965 |
18125 |
|
Date: 2015-10-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2565 |
9314 |
1978 |
265 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
317 |
472 |
444 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
10 |
217 |
1143 |
291 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
584 |
882 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
460 |
336 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
594 |
1786 |
5147 |
18753 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2565 |
9072 |
1727 |
279 |
54 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
401 |
236 |
195 |
217 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
134 |
275 |
583 |
348 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
32 |
276 |
567 |
261 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
160 |
658 |
437 |
161 |
17 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
368 |
951 |
1931 |
5137 |
18752 |
|
Date: 2015-10-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2503 |
8636 |
1754 |
292 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
498 |
450 |
367 |
38 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
73 |
299 |
605 |
295 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
70 |
592 |
801 |
120 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
333 |
587 |
345 |
10 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
511 |
1943 |
5382 |
19139 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2503 |
8533 |
1717 |
381 |
81 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
371 |
268 |
179 |
133 |
79 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
286 |
224 |
277 |
231 |
151 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
166 |
295 |
432 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
120 |
461 |
480 |
187 |
20 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
80 |
705 |
932 |
1954 |
5372 |
19140 |
|
Date: 2015-10-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2685 |
7826 |
1512 |
172 |
39 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
450 |
484 |
492 |
140 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
107 |
391 |
468 |
136 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
91 |
554 |
457 |
123 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
447 |
898 |
346 |
39 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
832 |
2238 |
5720 |
19098 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2685 |
7875 |
1562 |
262 |
103 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
313 |
322 |
344 |
130 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
191 |
288 |
307 |
278 |
191 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
194 |
337 |
289 |
178 |
30 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
49 |
269 |
356 |
257 |
29 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
80 |
674 |
1346 |
2091 |
5706 |
19104 |
|
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