Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2015-10-15
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-10-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82504 |
14820 |
1531 |
399 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
4 |
99 |
182 |
54 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
37 |
218 |
85 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
127 |
173 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
352 |
230 |
32 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
663 |
890 |
3449 |
3106 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-10-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
83086 |
14178 |
1324 |
445 |
142 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
33 |
133 |
129 |
78 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
6 |
75 |
171 |
100 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
130 |
146 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
304 |
127 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
238 |
1170 |
2863 |
4075 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-10-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82234 |
14906 |
1445 |
409 |
136 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
51 |
130 |
166 |
122 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
188 |
156 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
201 |
79 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
191 |
491 |
81 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
661 |
3183 |
4136 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-10-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
80712 |
16075 |
1705 |
459 |
167 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
172 |
97 |
138 |
115 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
19 |
76 |
166 |
130 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
95 |
183 |
53 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
227 |
201 |
14 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
1197 |
2774 |
4054 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
80712 |
16101 |
1718 |
486 |
196 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
155 |
107 |
124 |
116 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
10 |
59 |
164 |
155 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
87 |
151 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
221 |
188 |
18 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
1182 |
2770 |
4054 |
|
Date: 2015-10-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81289 |
15194 |
1728 |
480 |
230 |
106 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
261 |
56 |
112 |
112 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
213 |
54 |
90 |
109 |
125 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
101 |
38 |
97 |
128 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
109 |
77 |
371 |
3 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
83 |
1113 |
4285 |
2474 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81289 |
15184 |
1728 |
471 |
242 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
249 |
54 |
119 |
92 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
234 |
56 |
93 |
119 |
141 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
101 |
31 |
93 |
145 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
109 |
71 |
321 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
91 |
1134 |
4286 |
2474 |
|
Date: 2015-10-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81916 |
14969 |
1606 |
371 |
91 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
151 |
176 |
205 |
75 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
33 |
227 |
143 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
82 |
206 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
169 |
698 |
8 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1038 |
2577 |
4196 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81916 |
14627 |
1546 |
409 |
192 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
163 |
44 |
105 |
76 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
249 |
71 |
127 |
93 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
82 |
110 |
62 |
100 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
44 |
119 |
111 |
192 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
114 |
1409 |
2584 |
4196 |
|
Date: 2015-10-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81316 |
15003 |
1469 |
433 |
83 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
249 |
82 |
154 |
66 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
90 |
116 |
138 |
152 |
102 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
124 |
147 |
81 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
219 |
444 |
38 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
890 |
3610 |
3970 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81316 |
15008 |
1415 |
466 |
137 |
109 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
135 |
43 |
62 |
82 |
84 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
111 |
66 |
78 |
70 |
96 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
76 |
71 |
82 |
88 |
103 |
16 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
12 |
76 |
121 |
103 |
172 |
42 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
66 |
193 |
1039 |
3590 |
3970 |
|
Date: 2015-10-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81252 |
14828 |
1504 |
358 |
64 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
307 |
89 |
128 |
61 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
159 |
108 |
111 |
116 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
18 |
92 |
121 |
105 |
119 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
126 |
277 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
110 |
1224 |
3198 |
4399 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81252 |
14714 |
1464 |
393 |
110 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
304 |
83 |
91 |
53 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
99 |
41 |
72 |
103 |
111 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
105 |
29 |
54 |
67 |
78 |
9 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
62 |
60 |
61 |
63 |
208 |
27 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
28 |
116 |
163 |
186 |
1208 |
3169 |
4399 |
|
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