Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-10-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2511 14491 989 47 3 0 0 0
OW 0 500 448 216 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 282 568 134 8 0 0
ODI 0 1 52 320 396 52 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 416 564 182 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 675 4380 4699
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1840 13999 1219 77 10 0 0 0
OW 0 741 386 211 26 1 0 0
VODI 0 134 388 514 148 27 0 0
ODI 0 9 51 283 330 109 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 87 411 494 122 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 60 722 4691 4992
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1553 13876 1589 146 12 0 0 0
OW 0 255 486 397 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 110 605 258 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 137 490 88 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 359 569 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 1039 4577 5438
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2150 13169 1141 63 0 0 0 0
OW 0 626 727 247 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 255 780 158 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 256 487 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 89 526 397 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 150 2015 5057 3665
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2150 13308 1390 85 0 0 0 0
OW 0 493 488 215 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 244 662 139 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 20 381 450 47 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 92 534 347 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 196 2082 5052 3665

Date: 2015-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1310 13153 1470 125 0 0 0 0
OW 0 557 933 400 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 259 849 260 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 19 234 460 137 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 414 591 153 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 1457 5496 3571
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1310 13191 1629 211 1 0 0 0
OW 0 525 814 379 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 210 686 206 8 0 0
ODI 0 1 24 295 458 130 18 0
CDI 0 0 4 106 411 551 155 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 116 1511 5495 3571

Date: 2015-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1393 12860 1115 85 0 0 0 0
OW 0 735 919 377 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 103 1280 146 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 168 942 38 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 293 984 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 498 5122 4916
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1393 12774 1212 135 16 0 0 0
OW 0 714 602 477 15 2 0 0
VODI 0 107 291 887 316 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 29 301 479 132 21 0
CDI 0 0 4 124 474 479 180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 111 868 4979 4916

Date: 2015-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1148 11599 956 74 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1629 824 347 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 407 1031 375 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 233 602 245 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 269 897 336 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 34 257 4623 6019
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1148 12109 1240 102 19 2 0 0
OW 0 1039 546 275 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 399 930 345 76 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 319 430 279 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 341 632 213 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 128 450 4726 6019

Date: 2015-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 692 10730 1020 72 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1427 1190 434 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 556 1087 659 70 3 0
ODI 0 0 5 222 538 323 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 253 801 455 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 484 6247 4653
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 692 11102 1580 242 2 7 0 0
OW 0 1017 703 321 17 23 0 0
VODI 0 129 488 929 544 61 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 312 503 240 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 339 642 199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 79 705 6519 4653


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 31. mai 19:08:07 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy