Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-10-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4038 16461 2631 72 0 0 0 0
OW 83 904 673 624 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 185 512 1261 618 39 0 0
ODI 0 1 70 305 345 224 0 0
CDI 0 0 15 128 282 443 37 0
VCDI 0 0 0 67 274 1371 4061 10118
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3448 16517 2658 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1116 824 511 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 276 435 1257 678 11 0 0
ODI 0 10 99 267 576 126 10 0
CDI 0 0 21 168 279 335 143 0
VCDI 0 0 0 56 247 999 5346 9366
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2968 17287 3168 180 1 0 0 0
OW 0 586 755 637 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 208 950 499 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 213 920 360 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 352 624 59 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 151 932 3990 10918
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4038 14922 3174 62 0 0 0 0
OW 0 941 772 708 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 313 1188 340 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 260 965 219 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 435 840 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 211 1449 4842 10018
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4032 15295 3335 139 0 0 0 0
OW 6 593 594 698 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 329 1135 415 63 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 251 928 427 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 386 636 40 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 206 1392 4834 10018

Date: 2015-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5960 12348 2825 175 0 0 0 0
OW 16 1097 624 675 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 501 603 1242 389 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 470 832 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 132 395 679 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 28 503 2334 4917 9034
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5976 12882 2935 197 0 0 0 0
OW 0 773 459 554 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 291 645 1266 458 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 496 755 371 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 176 329 411 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 559 2294 4917 9034

Date: 2015-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4615 12629 2749 157 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1283 881 458 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 261 1570 286 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 168 1301 204 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 260 1588 23 17
VCDI 0 0 0 21 30 1401 5771 10147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4615 13040 2914 256 8 0 0 0
OW 0 728 388 460 172 8 0 0
VODI 0 179 581 1225 715 169 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 335 611 710 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 79 288 738 275 12
VCDI 0 0 0 21 87 1573 5502 10152

Date: 2015-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4296 11998 2522 238 0 0 0 0
OW 0 980 550 375 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 126 357 1144 1001 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 151 862 767 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 168 1010 468 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 29 670 5551 12503
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4296 12514 2666 446 34 0 0 0
OW 0 391 461 459 250 95 0 0
VODI 0 199 292 762 616 460 9 0
ODI 0 0 10 207 755 758 170 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 345 539 848 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 75 640 5023 12503

Date: 2015-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2716 11832 3102 324 2 0 0 0
OW 0 563 467 480 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 348 417 945 733 58 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 159 728 973 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 208 1295 510 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 29 342 5152 14422
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2716 12422 3317 690 154 31 0 0
OW 0 249 397 383 291 166 0 0
VODI 0 72 261 612 587 626 47 0
ODI 0 0 20 177 471 847 329 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 179 588 818 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 68 410 4469 14422


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 31. mai 19:08:01 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy