Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-09-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93078 46245 5265 1188 13 0 0 0
OW 0 795 1503 1519 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 435 2192 503 29 9 0
ODI 0 3 87 837 1755 131 13 0
CDI 0 0 19 475 2511 1791 552 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 118 1032 10728 14085
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91333 47731 5096 1233 21 0 0 0
OW 0 1270 1449 1503 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 553 1922 359 32 12 0
ODI 0 14 136 1075 1394 192 18 0
CDI 0 3 39 670 2582 1834 572 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 278 1331 11042 13164
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92826 47951 5058 1265 64 0 0 0
OW 0 483 1148 1325 166 4 0 0
VODI 0 51 203 2377 438 42 1 0
ODI 0 0 34 765 2012 184 11 0
CDI 0 0 4 210 1710 2366 518 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 67 958 9885 14910
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91879 46861 5662 1496 63 0 0 0
OW 0 813 1432 1314 192 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 470 1966 546 4 0 0
ODI 0 1 52 859 1658 379 24 0
CDI 0 0 11 262 1481 2289 971 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 117 1416 10482 14231
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91879 46638 5974 1848 138 0 0 0
OW 0 1018 1063 1079 253 0 0 0
VODI 0 127 525 1796 440 20 0 0
ODI 0 1 56 903 1658 422 19 0
CDI 0 0 9 275 1495 2312 971 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 73 1334 10487 14231

Date: 2015-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92283 46646 4643 895 52 0 0 0
OW 0 1673 1596 1220 117 0 0 0
VODI 0 177 582 1929 597 4 0 0
ODI 0 12 89 695 1206 504 126 0
CDI 0 0 32 288 1119 1824 1909 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 152 1221 10373 15073
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92239 46662 4926 1400 69 0 0 0
OW 44 1569 1207 889 200 0 0 0
VODI 0 267 698 1724 430 20 0 0
ODI 0 10 81 717 1265 458 152 0
CDI 0 0 30 302 1163 1871 1973 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 116 1204 10283 15073

Date: 2015-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88649 51882 5517 929 14 0 0 0
OW 0 838 1221 839 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 238 1658 287 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 19 425 1233 120 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 69 837 2364 230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 22 733 11580 17265
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88635 50092 4713 1164 69 0 0 0
OW 14 2107 1059 692 232 10 0 0
VODI 0 472 993 1148 516 83 1 0
ODI 0 47 163 590 715 638 189 0
CDI 0 13 67 321 776 1576 2439 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 132 917 9182 17265

Date: 2015-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90506 47734 6188 1391 237 2 0 0
OW 0 988 1198 906 169 7 0 0
VODI 0 78 429 1393 318 16 6 0
ODI 0 0 33 695 831 218 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 149 979 1453 591 0
VCDI 0 0 0 28 218 1739 11323 17213
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90506 46087 5473 1424 313 2 0 0
OW 0 1964 1018 696 266 6 0 0
VODI 0 686 1090 1285 442 120 7 0
ODI 0 44 171 754 814 522 35 0
CDI 0 19 96 350 766 1920 1475 0
VCDI 0 0 0 53 151 865 10415 17213

Date: 2015-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86183 50481 6126 1119 197 21 2 0
OW 0 1190 1160 1381 402 49 3 0
VODI 0 79 507 1320 546 95 16 0
ODI 0 0 29 659 819 345 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 134 900 1419 659 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 222 1514 10897 18506
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86183 49110 5507 1382 351 45 0 0
OW 0 1738 935 670 426 91 7 0
VODI 0 790 1044 1440 540 321 11 0
ODI 0 105 252 716 759 587 87 0
CDI 0 7 77 340 712 1282 1407 0
VCDI 0 0 7 94 298 1117 10104 18506


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh on. 31. mai 17:46:10 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy