Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-08-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83688 42575 5520 1806 59 0 0 0
OW 0 200 1230 2678 127 14 5 0
VODI 0 23 188 6391 2854 133 45 0
ODI 0 42 6 694 5043 2673 1366 0
CDI 0 39 9 251 2117 10629 4388 0
VCDI 0 5 4 165 148 7532 4248 153
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90634 36509 5330 1791 47 0 0 0
OW 0 162 1603 2570 156 7 0 0
VODI 0 4 230 6895 2378 228 1 0
ODI 0 0 44 837 4039 2731 1745 0
CDI 0 0 48 207 2406 9498 5702 12
VCDI 0 0 0 129 143 7346 3616 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87948 40395 5974 1418 28 0 0 0
OW 0 4 1451 2655 65 2 0 0
VODI 0 30 68 7124 1346 29 0 0
ODI 0 44 14 631 5526 860 17 0
CDI 0 4 7 336 2586 12665 3677 0
VCDI 0 0 0 43 74 5253 6773 1
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91520 38367 5052 1281 18 0 0 0
OW 0 32 1514 3057 122 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 134 6018 1871 49 0 0
ODI 0 17 35 745 4855 1492 143 0
CDI 0 0 0 281 3521 11830 3840 1309
VCDI 0 0 0 24 266 4736 4283 614
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91520 38364 5267 1600 18 0 0 0
OW 0 36 1242 2816 166 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 198 5853 1899 47 0 0
ODI 0 14 27 828 4720 1544 130 0
CDI 0 0 1 286 3637 12104 3859 1219
VCDI 0 0 0 23 213 4412 4277 704

Date: 2015-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92550 38316 4688 1109 33 0 0 0
OW 0 107 2053 2869 228 24 0 0
VODI 0 40 234 5809 1291 237 36 0
ODI 0 27 8 797 4553 1188 966 0
CDI 0 0 88 266 3053 9840 6982 964
VCDI 0 0 0 1 26 1971 5384 1310
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92550 38341 5116 1391 52 0 0 0
OW 0 83 1603 2651 227 25 0 0
VODI 0 39 259 5658 1354 227 23 0
ODI 0 27 7 869 4365 1137 985 0
CDI 0 0 86 282 3154 9796 6939 928
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 2075 5421 1346

Date: 2015-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97564 33945 4990 1012 10 0 0 0
OW 0 46 1959 2177 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 134 6395 848 6 0 0
ODI 0 12 33 548 6566 314 34 0
CDI 0 38 70 168 2228 8731 740 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 4 2992 14411 1006
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97564 33821 5216 1643 59 2 0 0
OW 0 137 1474 2862 331 21 0 0
VODI 0 22 367 4625 1780 134 99 0
ODI 0 11 24 925 4240 1227 1250 0
CDI 0 51 90 248 3298 8722 8058 295
VCDI 0 0 15 3 8 1937 5778 711

Date: 2015-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94441 37777 5242 1328 7 0 0 0
OW 0 131 1700 2586 77 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 260 5202 1163 5 0 0
ODI 0 18 29 651 4660 1281 299 0
CDI 0 44 56 124 3134 4644 3689 113
VCDI 0 0 13 10 414 3134 8585 6226
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94441 37461 5084 2022 23 0 0 0
OW 0 374 1486 2837 380 3 0 0
VODI 0 73 580 3962 1860 269 5 0
ODI 0 1 55 916 4380 1436 657 0
CDI 0 26 60 142 2810 6959 8473 1576
VCDI 0 40 35 22 2 397 3438 4763

Date: 2015-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91827 40280 5573 1600 15 0 0 0
OW 0 544 1581 2511 210 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 445 4365 1508 62 8 0
ODI 0 13 25 736 3052 1163 1398 0
CDI 0 39 78 164 1475 3118 6942 430
VCDI 0 0 0 5 108 1332 10637 5764
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91827 40000 5512 2386 103 0 0 0
OW 0 615 1394 2523 506 1 0 0
VODI 0 231 639 3493 2170 340 29 0
ODI 0 14 58 855 2888 1837 1262 3
CDI 0 18 41 111 680 3352 12769 2652
VCDI 0 38 58 13 21 145 4925 3539


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh on. 31. mai 15:36:02 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy