Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-08-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79972 16009 1871 773 28 0 0 0
OW 0 5 156 754 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 27 729 350 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 672 127 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 420 4791 1510 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 446 306 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82588 14187 1476 736 21 0 0 0
OW 0 7 167 641 95 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 23 445 484 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 484 333 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 229 2159 4376 241
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 180 75
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82136 14699 1684 769 9 0 0 0
OW 0 0 74 518 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 528 333 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 596 173 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 203 1035 323 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 702 3980 1216
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2015-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80315 16772 1858 632 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 47 606 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 722 284 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 605 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1035 737 615 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 3025 1653 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80315 16773 1850 643 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 55 598 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 692 249 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 137 586 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1094 707 599 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 3052 1669 0

Date: 2015-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83276 14053 1636 644 4 0 0 0
OW 0 0 74 555 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 994 231 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 813 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1015 2724 35 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 855 2078 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83276 14053 1624 816 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 84 623 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 628 230 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 188 473 5 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 1215 958 412 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 108 2621 1693 0

Date: 2015-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83154 14842 1316 582 8 0 0 0
OW 0 13 112 610 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 569 409 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 465 188 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 642 2639 772 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1127 1467 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83154 14849 1313 650 12 0 0 0
OW 0 6 107 566 95 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 451 290 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 346 123 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 824 1184 841 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 2640 1401 0

Date: 2015-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85592 12892 1147 408 17 0 0 0
OW 0 0 98 637 130 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 288 463 92 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 293 332 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 101 1726 2436 679
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 6 1329 407
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85592 12869 1102 513 58 0 0 0
OW 0 23 111 435 159 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 32 295 327 107 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 81 219 283 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 232 1649 1736 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 117 2021 1075


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