Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-08-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2457 9698 1583 296 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 549 1038 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 38 1339 1184 96 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 2938 1899 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 216 7093 1287 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 118 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2298 9710 1905 220 0 0 0 0
OW 0 50 621 1093 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 65 1307 1332 131 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 2032 3307 386 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 174 5707 1525 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 93 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2165 10773 1484 247 2 0 0 0
OW 0 23 450 760 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 35 1367 419 1 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 173 1736 736 198 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 600 3713 2381 45
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1132 2950 631
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2015-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1241 12574 1205 122 0 0 0 0
OW 0 125 574 637 21 6 0 0
VODI 0 5 108 1069 761 76 19 0
ODI 0 0 5 127 1109 899 879 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 625 4196 1813 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 114 3386 367 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1241 12580 1272 160 1 0 0 0
OW 0 110 475 561 36 5 0 0
VODI 0 14 138 1019 636 107 32 0
ODI 0 0 7 216 1108 894 713 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 746 4013 2019 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 103 3544 314 0

Date: 2015-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1763 12561 1233 99 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 534 488 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 26 1187 161 0 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 163 1588 200 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 405 7776 195 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 47 419 3177 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1763 12388 1061 211 0 0 0 0
OW 0 155 513 482 35 0 2 0
VODI 0 37 210 1056 669 35 24 0
ODI 0 0 7 163 1043 1473 432 0
CDI 0 0 2 29 398 4923 1517 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 56 1964 1412 1

Date: 2015-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2294 12048 1338 130 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 421 603 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 25 1059 259 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 218 1440 705 75 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 1530 5605 1160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 220 2662 255 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2294 11793 1059 238 0 0 0 0
OW 0 205 498 543 21 9 0 0
VODI 0 52 223 1035 694 55 6 0
ODI 0 0 4 178 1852 1122 70 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 843 4895 1080 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 39 2907 334 0

Date: 2015-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2026 12480 1134 130 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 483 614 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 71 1018 321 46 2 0
ODI 0 0 4 245 1491 968 138 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 1994 4912 2062 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 93 1407 348 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2026 12176 964 254 4 0 0 0
OW 0 254 503 526 52 4 0 0
VODI 0 81 211 1020 735 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 216 2254 873 47 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 871 4233 1596 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 2178 907 0


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