Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-07-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1165 8430 1231 202 0 0 0 0
OW 0 195 808 931 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 166 2442 853 15 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 453 3458 1751 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 641 8324 536 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 318 19 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2198 8496 694 207 1 0 0 0
OW 0 446 849 1050 67 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 283 1889 1299 22 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 465 3564 2407 66 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 607 6971 116 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 19 253 26 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1880 9733 1562 302 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 397 1112 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 24 1711 717 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 146 3703 824 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 294 8030 1280 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 199 117 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2986 9265 1350 342 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 441 1102 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 41 1418 1094 55 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 2947 1520 175 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 296 6128 2537 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 142 53 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2986 9272 1385 441 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 387 1030 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 60 1309 935 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 181 3146 1513 129 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 232 6167 2581 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 147 55 0

Date: 2015-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2315 9693 1740 329 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 459 1185 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 49 1300 1313 80 12 0
ODI 0 0 2 71 2394 2787 89 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 215 7229 652 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 66 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2315 9686 1792 441 0 0 0 0
OW 0 74 387 1007 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 70 1270 1161 24 16 0
ODI 0 0 1 162 2389 2627 104 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 353 7432 633 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 79 0 0

Date: 2015-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3603 9276 1363 170 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 572 657 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 1648 234 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 131 2570 197 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 316 6021 395 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 362 4261 247
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3603 9167 1317 350 1 0 0 0
OW 0 122 509 825 58 2 0 0
VODI 0 7 125 1269 1215 155 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 156 1742 3310 822 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 103 3001 3778 247
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 123 56 0

Date: 2015-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1586 11341 1613 282 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 467 800 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 22 1212 552 1 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 97 1511 1021 251 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 236 2544 4014 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 608 3460 377
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1586 11146 1455 459 15 0 0 0
OW 0 199 494 823 122 0 6 0
VODI 0 10 153 957 1379 428 105 0
ODI 0 0 0 144 731 2783 3154 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 42 885 4360 377
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 78 111 0

Date: 2015-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1844 11940 1097 128 0 0 0 0
OW 0 142 518 691 5 0 5 0
VODI 0 8 124 1118 695 6 18 0
ODI 0 0 2 107 1506 935 393 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 407 4781 1532 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 55 2980 1037 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1844 11825 1041 398 8 0 0 0
OW 0 231 536 832 287 10 0 0
VODI 0 34 146 656 1376 798 229 0
ODI 0 0 18 137 893 5492 1026 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 85 2305 1705 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 97 25 0


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