Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-07-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 384 6094 1497 287 3 0 0 0
OW 0 95 735 1135 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 202 1920 765 126 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 619 3005 2154 33 0
CDI 0 0 2 115 1289 9477 1638 0
VCDI 0 0 6 3 23 262 152 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 803 6166 1400 353 8 0 0 0
OW 0 186 819 1154 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 222 1889 917 311 241 0
ODI 0 0 25 628 2792 2608 616 0
CDI 0 0 3 92 1169 8228 928 0
VCDI 0 0 5 0 37 218 175 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 160 7385 2321 303 6 0 0 0
OW 1 10 577 1008 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 30 2675 532 9 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 331 3876 717 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 3 481 10913 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 602 16 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1207 7588 1676 283 1 0 0 0
OW 0 106 681 938 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 149 2536 711 14 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 444 3557 1204 98 0
CDI 0 1 0 4 610 8588 1208 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 310 53 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1207 7576 1890 417 2 0 0 0
OW 0 119 466 900 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 153 2435 501 15 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 445 3665 1599 38 0
CDI 0 1 0 8 713 8120 1268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 382 53 0

Date: 2015-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2426 7774 925 183 0 0 0 0
OW 0 327 865 988 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 220 2154 1068 31 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 444 3537 2085 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 547 7959 93 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 238 65 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2426 7853 1098 275 0 0 0 0
OW 0 242 676 914 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 230 2086 787 25 0 0
ODI 0 2 9 497 3752 2291 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 610 7719 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 278 82 0

Date: 2015-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1864 9532 1347 209 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 599 950 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 17 2017 419 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 194 4165 359 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 321 9552 118 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 146 242 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1864 9113 845 332 5 0 0 0
OW 0 342 796 1092 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 300 1449 1499 80 0 0
ODI 0 4 22 463 2879 3437 137 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 432 6346 115 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 18 199 108 0

Date: 2015-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2121 9721 1577 318 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 401 1128 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 40 1562 975 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 120 3109 1353 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 352 6939 2011 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 150 62 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2121 9152 964 467 12 0 0 0
OW 0 487 715 1141 226 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 295 1117 1603 472 72 0
ODI 0 15 44 368 2278 3665 512 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 289 4173 1484 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 79 150 35 0

Date: 2015-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2457 9698 1583 296 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 549 1038 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 38 1339 1184 96 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 2938 1899 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 216 7093 1287 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 118 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2457 9147 1129 709 61 0 0 0
OW 0 449 692 833 407 10 0 0
VODI 0 128 265 874 1945 943 0 0
ODI 0 23 78 310 1667 4551 258 0
CDI 0 1 6 54 277 3516 1072 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 27 186 0 0


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