Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-07-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1215 9275 2272 1284 92 0 0 0
OW 0 61 385 1372 269 7 0 0
VODI 0 40 142 2132 1902 18 0 0
ODI 0 35 25 927 8763 164 0 0
CDI 0 29 23 244 2388 4866 39 0
VCDI 0 0 21 98 488 5948 1342 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1843 9533 2035 1176 126 0 0 0
OW 0 124 466 1371 259 3 0 0
VODI 0 58 165 2733 1973 17 0 0
ODI 0 80 73 1282 7303 163 0 0
CDI 0 22 48 223 2191 5481 117 0
VCDI 0 15 1 77 661 6055 192 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2489 9989 2276 1179 129 3 0 0
OW 0 27 252 1160 158 13 0 0
VODI 0 50 88 3563 1331 30 0 0
ODI 0 13 14 952 7921 280 0 0
CDI 0 0 14 89 1229 9498 259 0
VCDI 0 5 12 114 508 1946 275 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2286 10778 2342 1190 99 8 0 0
OW 0 51 288 1255 189 19 0 0
VODI 0 63 38 3646 2052 69 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 457 7029 285 8 0
CDI 0 14 23 125 1153 7903 964 0
VCDI 0 16 25 139 505 1786 1059 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2286 10780 2383 1406 130 9 0 0
OW 0 52 246 1148 176 19 0 0
VODI 0 60 39 3509 2390 59 1 0
ODI 0 0 4 475 6708 260 4 0
CDI 0 15 23 137 1138 8084 1126 0
VCDI 0 15 22 137 485 1639 901 0

Date: 2015-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2032 10845 2592 1410 114 1 0 0
OW 7 106 310 1494 269 21 0 0
VODI 5 7 19 4304 2102 101 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 921 5442 272 28 0
CDI 0 15 26 148 1417 5759 1963 0
VCDI 0 10 24 125 406 2730 835 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2033 10861 2641 1654 164 2 0 0
OW 5 82 249 1293 238 20 0 0
VODI 6 15 31 4278 2229 86 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 897 5354 304 31 0
CDI 0 16 25 162 1367 5788 2364 0
VCDI 0 9 24 118 398 2684 431 0

Date: 2015-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2692 10989 2465 1098 61 0 0 0
OW 0 0 325 1132 118 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 5613 860 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 584 6059 195 1 0
CDI 0 1 26 150 1138 10997 265 0
VCDI 0 5 26 49 306 360 298 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2692 10922 2415 1593 150 0 0 0
OW 0 67 335 1408 239 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 48 4476 2283 97 1 0
ODI 0 0 3 933 4189 705 2 0
CDI 0 3 24 153 1302 7466 346 0
VCDI 0 3 27 63 379 3316 215 0

Date: 2015-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1406 11801 3094 1237 92 0 0 0
OW 0 19 243 1372 154 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 34 5413 1522 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 470 4812 559 0 0
CDI 0 0 22 332 1069 9313 1977 0
VCDI 0 4 12 69 284 286 257 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1406 11775 2965 1740 194 0 0 0
OW 0 47 335 1811 344 2 0 0
VODI 0 1 59 4011 2670 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 897 3339 950 0 0
CDI 0 0 26 335 1077 6642 1741 0
VCDI 0 4 9 99 309 2538 493 0

Date: 2015-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4584 9865 2257 1288 110 0 0 0
OW 0 4 272 1398 168 25 0 0
VODI 0 0 18 4791 2347 80 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 380 3861 976 32 0
CDI 0 0 2 125 1598 8217 2848 0
VCDI 0 0 4 100 311 146 55 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4584 9824 2149 1817 271 1 0 0
OW 0 42 347 1893 531 37 0 0
VODI 0 3 49 3478 2926 185 11 0
ODI 0 0 2 666 2641 1196 58 0
CDI 0 0 2 133 1708 6300 2606 0
VCDI 0 0 4 95 318 1725 264 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 31. mai 12:44:10 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy