Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-07-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76507 16104 1726 1083 100 0 0 0
OW 0 21 259 759 134 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 36 628 578 25 0 0
ODI 0 3 17 249 882 176 0 0
CDI 0 1 9 167 1072 2888 1466 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 1699 2472 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78153 14904 1573 1167 72 0 0 0
OW 0 17 220 772 143 6 0 0
VODI 0 8 36 600 526 47 0 0
ODI 0 1 22 221 905 192 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 170 986 2807 1995 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 990 2567 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77493 15247 2197 1277 54 0 0 0
OW 0 0 52 839 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 632 680 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 156 1459 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 575 2276 595 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 24 2608 2505 183
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73873 18658 2746 1247 80 0 0 0
OW 0 0 101 810 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 689 628 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 273 1032 120 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 597 1464 2094 36
VCDI 0 0 0 11 70 1210 2823 393
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73873 18658 2746 1297 81 0 0 0
OW 0 0 100 777 99 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 684 643 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 251 967 130 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 636 1439 2069 30
VCDI 0 0 0 12 65 1217 2848 399

Date: 2015-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77797 15937 1835 1234 87 7 0 0
OW 0 44 134 699 181 13 0 0
VODI 0 1 83 509 791 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 222 761 131 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 75 456 2176 2305 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 1601 1787 150
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77797 15944 1827 1286 104 6 0 0
OW 0 38 135 632 168 20 0 0
VODI 0 0 89 548 787 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 22 201 743 77 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 72 477 2063 2255 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 1756 1835 150

Date: 2015-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78525 15702 1917 978 75 17 0 0
OW 0 0 105 684 55 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 725 385 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 112 1177 108 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 211 6148 308 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 303 1534 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78525 15636 1741 1104 101 18 0 0
OW 0 61 176 671 183 25 1 0
VODI 0 5 93 500 727 35 6 0
ODI 0 0 17 188 598 187 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 296 3988 862 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 2338 956 0

Date: 2015-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78319 15952 2004 1092 64 33 0 0
OW 0 0 54 769 75 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 589 499 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 109 868 163 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 284 5132 1628 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 1013 407 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78319 15883 1773 1250 112 37 0 0
OW 0 59 165 622 177 28 0 0
VODI 0 10 106 463 650 61 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 179 492 224 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 356 4206 1444 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 1809 572 0

Date: 2015-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77724 16931 1783 1114 78 0 0 0
OW 0 0 131 715 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 29 743 430 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 139 722 101 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 579 5396 989 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 1374 22 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77724 16698 1612 1393 150 0 0 0
OW 0 88 150 578 198 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 46 477 488 23 0 0
ODI 0 43 84 177 384 169 54 0
CDI 0 3 51 92 627 4916 622 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 40 1766 335 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 31. mai 11:26:06 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy