Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-07-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3939 785 454 36 0 0 0
OW 0 67 166 614 147 1 0 0
VODI 0 39 93 862 756 54 0 0
ODI 0 2 46 364 1689 184 16 0
CDI 0 0 30 210 2328 1917 249 0
VCDI 0 1 0 115 413 7142 7998 1365
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98 3990 705 462 46 0 0 0
OW 0 55 282 708 174 2 0 0
VODI 0 12 124 1026 649 68 14 0
ODI 0 5 41 549 1336 285 36 0
CDI 0 4 50 319 2847 2569 146 0
VCDI 0 1 0 45 475 5337 8027 1595
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 386 4064 1084 325 22 0 0 0
OW 0 7 240 806 120 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 69 1650 837 35 1 0
ODI 0 0 3 397 1997 107 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 2631 5355 241 0
VCDI 0 0 1 8 81 5887 5585 28
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 4624 1108 372 22 0 0 0
OW 0 42 334 954 98 10 0 0
VODI 0 1 111 1600 930 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 464 1710 108 7 0
CDI 0 0 4 152 3489 5865 96 0
VCDI 0 1 0 49 235 7141 2518 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 4630 1158 512 45 0 0 0
OW 0 36 281 893 86 7 0 0
VODI 0 1 111 1485 873 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 18 488 1755 107 6 0
CDI 0 1 5 158 3483 6289 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 55 242 6725 2474 0

Date: 2015-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 435 4548 1106 370 16 0 0 0
OW 0 102 380 1317 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 158 1661 610 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 24 550 1744 135 4 0
CDI 0 1 4 192 2741 7355 304 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 160 7023 1079 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 435 4556 1201 584 18 0 0 0
OW 0 91 270 1197 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 162 1539 556 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 32 569 1819 123 4 0
CDI 0 1 7 198 2723 7642 191 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 152 6747 1192 0

Date: 2015-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 439 4823 1536 335 1 0 0 0
OW 1 28 494 1151 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 36 2438 254 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 326 3660 187 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 82 1514 12877 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 56 812 860 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 439 4686 1428 648 5 0 0 0
OW 1 127 392 1310 18 1 0 0
VODI 0 39 171 1494 413 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 70 593 2067 279 0 0
CDI 0 1 10 248 2704 7124 752 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 287 6471 231 0

Date: 2015-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 415 5292 1805 360 1 0 0 0
OW 0 21 564 1270 16 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 78 2024 478 36 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 434 3311 964 134 0
CDI 0 0 2 60 2166 11594 706 0
VCDI 0 0 1 5 34 168 136 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 415 5112 1462 504 3 0 0 0
OW 0 158 622 1058 32 6 0 0
VODI 0 37 290 1527 386 44 0 0
ODI 0 6 67 687 2320 501 0 0
CDI 0 1 10 315 2990 7994 341 0
VCDI 0 0 1 62 275 4221 635 0

Date: 2015-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 384 6094 1497 287 3 0 0 0
OW 0 95 735 1135 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 202 1920 765 126 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 619 3005 2154 33 0
CDI 0 0 2 115 1289 9477 1638 0
VCDI 0 0 6 3 23 262 152 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 384 5510 1253 616 32 0 0 0
OW 0 370 569 973 85 4 0 0
VODI 0 217 341 1364 453 34 0 0
ODI 0 55 239 710 2305 755 0 0
CDI 0 38 56 288 1964 8823 1069 0
VCDI 0 0 5 128 285 2403 754 0


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