Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-07-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4844 1807 1360 92 0 0 0
OW 0 18 201 632 113 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 72 1100 742 24 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 255 2065 154 1 0
CDI 0 12 0 187 9434 4189 562 0
VCDI 0 14 9 308 3269 5737 7170 1489
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 402 4822 1751 1356 49 0 0 0
OW 10 25 277 731 141 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 66 1084 1003 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 315 1716 116 0 0
CDI 0 4 17 321 11167 5056 599 0
VCDI 0 16 76 344 2781 5680 4562 1336
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 425 2659 4286 1590 43 0 0 0
OW 20 34 291 664 13 0 0 0
VODI 14 20 267 1506 358 0 0 0
ODI 27 16 534 904 2180 0 0 0
CDI 44 164 485 3717 11864 4502 75 0
VCDI 5 406 901 2325 914 2496 1992 125
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 311 5688 2341 1165 33 0 0 0
OW 0 6 122 800 117 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 1278 991 55 0 0
ODI 0 0 12 339 2467 488 38 0
CDI 0 0 7 334 9871 7390 3226 0
VCDI 0 0 10 258 511 2639 4972 386
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 311 5687 2359 1275 60 0 0 0
OW 0 7 104 715 239 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 1262 943 66 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 345 2339 490 132 0
CDI 0 0 7 320 9897 7428 3098 0
VCDI 0 0 11 257 512 2589 5006 386

Date: 2015-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 141 6262 2187 1178 32 0 0 0
OW 5 13 246 851 205 29 3 0
VODI 10 0 32 1240 1065 55 11 0
ODI 10 0 15 349 2465 246 14 0
CDI 0 0 48 595 11570 9372 109 0
VCDI 0 0 29 110 473 3913 2499 484
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 143 6270 2229 1227 142 0 0 0
OW 4 5 219 812 238 31 4 0
VODI 6 0 19 1240 981 48 9 0
ODI 13 0 13 364 2544 310 14 0
CDI 0 0 52 561 11438 9137 80 0
VCDI 0 0 25 119 467 4089 2529 484

Date: 2015-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 639 6466 2191 1132 15 0 0 0
OW 0 53 205 1031 58 9 0 0
VODI 0 16 32 1887 796 38 0 0
ODI 0 8 23 509 6283 273 1 0
CDI 0 244 28 139 7662 11035 275 0
VCDI 0 0 5 37 698 2078 1973 27
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 639 6274 2123 1376 34 4 0 0
OW 0 101 226 987 190 14 0 0
VODI 0 123 56 1266 942 46 0 0
ODI 0 39 36 586 2136 390 1 0
CDI 0 240 38 475 11237 8720 405 0
VCDI 0 10 5 45 973 4259 1843 27

Date: 2015-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1095 6607 2325 1314 19 0 0 0
OW 1 10 188 1139 97 9 0 0
VODI 0 6 88 1725 1192 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 74 480 6575 706 0 0
CDI 0 1 40 233 7124 8781 344 0
VCDI 0 41 88 106 1251 3428 742 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1093 6557 2075 1524 40 5 0 0
OW 3 40 312 994 244 10 0 0
VODI 0 11 113 1247 981 27 0 0
ODI 0 15 92 607 2427 269 0 0
CDI 0 7 131 484 11024 8944 399 0
VCDI 0 35 80 141 1542 3706 687 0

Date: 2015-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 983 7169 2309 1314 59 3 0 0
OW 0 24 161 1406 176 11 0 0
VODI 0 27 99 1352 1829 34 0 0
ODI 0 1 56 410 6450 1207 0 0
CDI 0 11 94 245 4606 9284 290 0
VCDI 0 3 69 119 1132 3395 1538 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 983 7022 2055 1654 114 15 0 0
OW 0 67 302 1003 259 13 0 0
VODI 0 89 103 994 1057 28 0 0
ODI 0 42 75 522 2600 513 0 0
CDI 0 15 205 545 8888 10943 1245 0
VCDI 0 0 48 128 1334 2422 583 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 31. mai 08:45:17 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy