Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-06-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2591 1130 292 28 0 0 0
OW 0 0 111 424 137 5 0 0
VODI 0 17 17 466 486 56 1 0
ODI 0 36 3 355 718 201 87 0
CDI 0 75 1 532 2740 686 884 0
VCDI 0 1 0 148 2319 4660 8673 4202
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2829 975 283 15 0 0 0
OW 0 5 144 390 196 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 42 355 461 81 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 189 1060 353 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 192 2323 3167 482 0
VCDI 0 0 0 75 764 4531 6998 6147
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2829 1078 415 20 0 0 0
OW 0 1 38 405 113 15 0 0
VODI 0 25 4 383 757 96 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 182 1587 275 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 221 2331 2889 208 0
VCDI 0 1 0 22 328 4332 8377 5134
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 3194 877 337 14 1 0 0
OW 0 0 45 367 165 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 369 756 202 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 162 1634 480 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 276 1864 3004 736 0
VCDI 0 0 0 61 411 3127 8557 5384
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 3194 878 376 36 1 0 0
OW 0 0 38 330 129 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 371 828 175 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 160 1515 508 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 265 1913 3048 678 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 423 3082 8617 5384

Date: 2015-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26 3763 537 226 8 0 0 0
OW 0 2 163 296 162 16 0 0
VODI 0 0 53 443 858 133 0 0
ODI 0 7 28 159 1772 347 13 0
CDI 0 0 55 251 1094 2537 2375 82
VCDI 0 0 28 194 624 2839 7919 5072
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26 3761 577 224 25 2 0 0
OW 0 4 118 310 137 19 0 0
VODI 0 0 51 439 881 146 0 0
ODI 0 7 38 157 1694 375 14 0
CDI 0 0 53 258 1176 2387 2238 84
VCDI 0 0 27 181 605 2943 8055 5070

Date: 2015-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 3933 646 227 2 0 0 0
OW 0 14 176 349 89 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 45 667 502 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 20 327 2408 213 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 168 1175 2722 168 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 144 1846 10899 5266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 3923 511 200 35 22 0 0
OW 0 10 154 345 251 74 17 0
VODI 0 8 67 468 799 162 35 0
ODI 0 5 67 192 1615 303 26 0
CDI 0 1 80 352 1047 1702 2662 291
VCDI 0 0 8 183 573 2582 8336 4975

Date: 2015-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3963 756 354 12 0 0 0
OW 0 8 131 478 97 6 0 0
VODI 0 88 78 779 601 40 9 0
ODI 0 113 25 379 1832 197 32 0
CDI 0 0 1 203 1584 2174 771 0
VCDI 0 0 1 15 266 6334 8798 1957
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3912 548 286 66 0 0 0
OW 0 32 175 514 273 58 7 0
VODI 0 92 95 587 754 118 4 0
ODI 0 134 63 284 1391 323 20 0
CDI 0 2 82 329 1468 4323 138 0
VCDI 0 0 29 208 440 3929 9441 1957

Date: 2015-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3939 785 454 36 0 0 0
OW 0 67 166 614 147 1 0 0
VODI 0 39 93 862 756 54 0 0
ODI 0 2 46 364 1689 184 16 0
CDI 0 0 30 210 2328 1917 249 0
VCDI 0 1 0 115 413 7142 7998 1365
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3877 625 516 157 10 0 0
OW 0 77 222 553 329 41 0 0
VODI 0 57 86 687 634 107 0 0
ODI 0 28 70 288 1647 195 7 0
CDI 0 8 104 376 2000 4032 793 0
VCDI 0 1 13 199 602 4913 7463 1365


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