Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-06-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1970 805 434 11 0 0 0
OW 0 30 117 578 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 52 302 246 54 3 0
ODI 0 0 9 267 378 220 61 0
CDI 0 0 0 137 1033 1172 1221 0
VCDI 0 0 0 44 529 3789 13096 5469
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1953 906 597 16 0 0 0
OW 0 14 138 439 70 0 1 0
VODI 0 4 47 361 234 47 20 0
ODI 0 0 4 248 369 231 64 0
CDI 0 0 0 282 1218 1233 1044 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 401 6795 8842 6462
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2284 1146 457 15 0 0 0
OW 0 3 59 413 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 6 475 345 19 3 0
ODI 0 26 1 195 720 131 13 0
CDI 0 50 0 152 1681 1534 495 0
VCDI 0 1 0 7 562 5165 12606 3475
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2489 1149 321 21 0 0 0
OW 0 1 108 413 93 0 3 0
VODI 0 2 40 514 328 57 10 0
ODI 0 0 16 463 655 158 56 0
CDI 0 1 3 716 2130 999 789 0
VCDI 0 1 0 59 1012 6373 10916 2186
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2490 1156 358 27 0 0 0
OW 0 0 97 346 64 8 1 0
VODI 0 1 42 543 331 51 15 0
ODI 0 1 17 467 639 146 76 0
CDI 0 1 4 707 2288 1016 739 0
VCDI 0 1 0 65 890 6366 10943 2186

Date: 2015-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9 2699 1010 322 18 0 0 0
OW 0 3 128 415 180 3 0 0
VODI 0 46 25 381 438 70 3 0
ODI 0 107 0 208 888 278 40 0
CDI 0 214 0 267 2601 1832 532 0
VCDI 0 1 0 25 570 6024 9509 3236
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9 2700 1042 376 20 0 0 0
OW 0 9 97 329 173 6 0 0
VODI 0 43 24 405 464 58 0 0
ODI 0 110 0 220 840 283 56 0
CDI 0 207 0 258 2646 1980 502 0
VCDI 0 1 0 30 552 5880 9526 3236

Date: 2015-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2842 1021 346 10 1 0 0
OW 0 0 59 406 72 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 497 630 57 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 175 1783 208 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 195 2144 3152 277 0
VCDI 0 1 0 5 295 2398 9509 5969
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2842 977 398 47 1 0 0
OW 0 0 83 302 207 27 0 0
VODI 0 2 21 378 550 110 20 0
ODI 0 2 0 174 984 331 165 0
CDI 0 0 0 173 2557 2265 1234 0
VCDI 0 1 0 199 589 3089 8385 5969

Date: 2015-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2986 1022 383 13 0 0 0
OW 0 0 35 377 136 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 397 779 143 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 169 1661 363 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 262 1958 3098 280 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 389 2996 8411 6170
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2981 894 416 82 10 0 0
OW 0 5 129 265 214 35 0 0
VODI 0 0 37 320 651 171 4 0
ODI 0 0 2 159 956 421 85 0
CDI 0 0 0 182 2588 3302 793 0
VCDI 0 0 0 282 445 2667 7816 6170

Date: 2015-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 3505 654 305 11 1 0 0
OW 0 0 91 316 155 11 2 0
VODI 0 0 9 330 796 202 16 0
ODI 0 0 6 153 1658 551 29 0
CDI 0 0 22 253 1459 3140 1381 0
VCDI 0 0 0 118 352 1996 9780 4739
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 3482 508 428 77 7 2 0
OW 0 23 151 146 252 53 16 0
VODI 0 0 90 215 685 224 32 0
ODI 0 0 5 156 999 405 116 0
CDI 0 0 0 140 1978 3595 2559 26
VCDI 0 0 28 390 440 1617 8483 4713


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