Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-06-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1556 565 215 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 158 341 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 32 465 271 6 10 0
ODI 0 0 7 154 363 48 26 0
CDI 0 0 21 260 938 1016 507 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 237 4180 11358 9287
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1541 515 412 47 0 0 0
OW 0 12 103 326 155 5 0 0
VODI 0 4 35 284 391 48 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 206 367 163 63 0
CDI 0 0 46 451 921 1352 511 0
VCDI 0 2 9 528 433 2484 10813 9853
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1533 783 495 15 0 0 0
OW 0 10 41 487 79 4 0 0
VODI 0 6 31 413 337 24 0 0
ODI 0 1 15 173 633 182 45 0
CDI 0 0 2 370 917 1537 748 6
VCDI 0 0 0 74 202 1104 13082 8733
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2086 686 296 6 0 0 0
OW 0 11 155 569 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 55 366 168 31 18 0
ODI 0 0 13 304 393 206 56 0
CDI 0 0 0 114 1109 1005 1251 1
VCDI 0 0 0 34 434 2492 13517 6674
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2087 673 323 6 0 0 0
OW 0 11 165 415 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 61 469 169 34 20 0
ODI 0 0 10 308 399 232 66 0
CDI 0 0 0 129 1085 983 1264 1
VCDI 0 0 0 39 456 2485 13492 6674

Date: 2015-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1947 912 520 10 0 0 0
OW 0 17 140 481 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 50 320 245 31 23 0
ODI 0 0 5 283 425 166 63 0
CDI 0 0 1 212 1320 968 1115 0
VCDI 0 0 0 101 496 3461 9422 9291
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1957 897 486 14 0 0 0
OW 0 10 162 467 37 0 2 0
VODI 0 7 43 358 233 46 37 0
ODI 0 0 6 287 440 185 47 0
CDI 0 0 0 246 1287 944 1309 0
VCDI 0 0 0 73 532 3451 9228 9291

Date: 2015-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2245 946 411 13 0 0 0
OW 0 15 115 486 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 504 282 6 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 175 816 227 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 141 1021 2331 101 0
VCDI 0 1 0 12 262 4890 13661 3392
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2234 788 464 23 0 0 0
OW 0 26 193 380 52 0 3 0
VODI 0 0 84 288 288 70 10 0
ODI 0 0 2 304 420 194 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 261 1166 1601 1360 0
VCDI 0 1 0 32 458 5589 12374 3392

Date: 2015-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2427 1135 371 11 0 0 0
OW 0 1 113 390 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 551 286 22 13 0
ODI 0 0 0 231 793 134 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 163 1931 1426 692 0
VCDI 0 1 0 10 482 3869 12622 4300
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2372 940 401 21 0 0 0
OW 0 56 180 294 78 1 6 0
VODI 0 0 120 303 219 14 15 0
ODI 0 0 14 383 504 152 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 333 2039 1492 2143 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 693 3792 11171 4300

Date: 2015-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2591 1130 292 28 0 0 0
OW 0 0 111 424 137 5 0 0
VODI 0 17 17 466 486 56 1 0
ODI 0 36 3 355 718 201 87 0
CDI 0 75 1 532 2740 686 884 0
VCDI 0 1 0 148 2319 4660 8673 4202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2481 943 403 30 4 0 0
OW 0 89 126 189 103 5 0 0
VODI 0 23 145 350 221 35 5 0
ODI 0 14 44 524 647 108 74 0
CDI 0 112 4 729 2622 1216 2876 103
VCDI 0 1 0 22 2805 4240 6690 4099


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