Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-04-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 54 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 25 50 30 1 0 0
VODI 0 16 18 76 67 14 0 0
ODI 0 13 14 61 60 35 4 0
CDI 0 5 29 64 78 119 43 16
VCDI 0 0 17 89 287 908 10162 19701
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 54 17 2 15 0 0 0
OW 0 13 22 15 70 8 0 0
VODI 0 17 27 50 64 49 0 0
ODI 0 16 17 47 42 53 4 0
CDI 0 6 27 39 26 88 115 9
VCDI 0 0 18 108 210 477 8611 21746
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 96 53 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 27 58 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 29 115 67 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 13 53 74 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 94 82 126 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 72 212 703 8339 21762
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 144 32 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 49 95 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 36 113 68 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 61 63 39 2 0
CDI 0 0 14 102 92 192 121 9
VCDI 0 0 3 154 205 907 10178 19293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 153 43 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 31 51 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 50 143 72 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 20 74 63 33 1 0
CDI 0 0 10 95 86 182 116 5
VCDI 0 0 3 149 209 923 10184 19297

Date: 2015-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 38 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 48 144 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 29 134 84 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 29 101 83 44 12 19
CDI 0 0 28 128 139 321 159 115
VCDI 0 0 22 183 270 1424 10525 17784
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 122 44 63 3 0 0 0
OW 0 28 31 80 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 52 174 63 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 30 110 82 34 8 8
CDI 0 0 16 117 154 325 146 99
VCDI 0 0 21 178 268 1431 10542 17811

Date: 2015-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 117 108 58 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 42 244 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 16 166 92 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 91 138 47 1 0
CDI 0 0 16 88 217 335 101 15
VCDI 0 0 0 97 157 1479 9020 19367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 92 56 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 52 120 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 30 179 64 18 0 0
ODI 0 9 17 92 98 32 8 0
CDI 0 0 21 94 184 222 133 10
VCDI 0 0 17 219 260 1603 8981 19372

Date: 2015-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 138 119 151 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 24 111 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 20 133 118 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 83 136 37 19 0
CDI 0 0 4 95 261 241 142 2
VCDI 0 0 0 109 163 1138 7808 20996
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 57 59 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 37 118 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 28 124 101 13 0 0
ODI 0 5 16 75 110 27 13 0
CDI 0 0 29 95 212 164 143 34
VCDI 0 0 14 211 259 1221 7813 20964

Date: 2015-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 90 139 4 0 0 0
OW 0 6 34 86 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 18 72 31 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 187 69 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 293 194 112 2
VCDI 0 0 0 70 166 903 7072 22311
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 55 81 4 0 0 0
OW 0 13 23 71 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 23 86 60 4 0 0
ODI 0 5 17 33 172 70 4 2
CDI 0 0 24 49 203 259 146 45
VCDI 0 0 0 171 241 834 7037 22266


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