Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-04-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59019 19523 2720 1636 476 214 4 0
OW 53 116 356 568 335 155 22 0
VODI 0 41 213 464 672 257 27 0
ODI 0 4 97 375 645 490 22 0
CDI 0 0 35 280 743 1407 264 42
VCDI 0 0 16 240 1315 9076 35444 49682
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58410 20117 2556 1604 547 234 0 0
OW 52 215 276 480 424 180 1 0
VODI 0 112 249 396 709 286 21 0
ODI 0 39 145 305 603 655 35 0
CDI 0 12 81 310 558 1524 288 1
VCDI 0 3 90 402 1154 9262 34790 49922
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59590 19627 2657 1411 401 256 25 0
OW 52 112 308 708 323 113 31 0
VODI 0 66 147 541 749 212 37 0
ODI 0 38 77 271 863 534 84 0
CDI 0 38 63 189 550 1562 342 7
VCDI 0 15 108 278 1001 8955 35900 48807
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61015 18875 2282 1338 372 314 0 0
OW 52 146 332 709 345 145 0 0
VODI 0 89 145 549 845 249 0 0
ODI 0 52 77 284 873 571 0 0
CDI 0 54 70 200 612 1425 86 21
VCDI 0 30 101 304 1115 8323 37661 47387
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61015 18862 2290 1433 416 329 0 0
OW 52 142 315 611 342 140 0 0
VODI 0 97 161 570 922 261 0 0
ODI 0 53 72 271 767 553 0 0
CDI 0 49 64 205 602 1354 122 21
VCDI 0 43 105 294 1113 8390 37625 47387

Date: 2015-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61448 18356 2349 1387 327 440 0 0
OW 51 146 304 838 439 177 4 0
VODI 0 92 171 567 1003 305 22 0
ODI 0 69 62 236 620 659 37 0
CDI 0 65 69 192 406 1210 200 18
VCDI 0 19 100 294 951 8980 36800 47635
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61448 18338 2409 1494 382 422 0 0
OW 51 139 252 765 487 190 3 0
VODI 0 101 167 568 894 294 21 0
ODI 0 70 60 206 603 623 42 0
CDI 0 71 60 171 417 1303 214 18
VCDI 0 28 107 310 963 8939 36783 47635

Date: 2015-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61935 18379 2312 1292 282 347 0 0
OW 51 156 502 949 266 98 0 0
VODI 0 54 114 793 930 132 6 0
ODI 0 52 78 215 894 389 22 0
CDI 0 0 47 286 701 1779 256 1
VCDI 0 0 0 34 749 8175 35651 49121
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61935 18147 2273 1532 556 434 0 0
OW 51 210 252 746 491 95 1 0
VODI 0 116 217 482 663 225 23 0
ODI 0 63 115 248 530 481 56 0
CDI 0 60 84 225 503 1286 256 1
VCDI 0 45 112 336 1079 8399 35599 49121

Date: 2015-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61323 18527 2496 1627 539 402 2 0
OW 51 149 458 701 485 141 11 0
VODI 0 71 111 690 835 240 22 0
ODI 0 55 54 236 539 586 38 0
CDI 0 0 81 283 705 1946 253 0
VCDI 0 0 0 179 1149 7821 37107 47135
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61323 18227 2403 1774 766 528 12 0
OW 51 202 294 569 504 118 16 0
VODI 0 155 183 421 626 340 29 0
ODI 0 82 94 260 498 612 37 0
CDI 0 121 87 212 607 1487 281 37
VCDI 0 15 139 480 1251 8051 37058 47098

Date: 2015-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60022 19605 2619 1667 473 361 0 0
OW 51 224 415 821 448 151 0 0
VODI 0 107 111 577 787 274 0 0
ODI 0 75 58 246 623 682 6 5
CDI 0 46 112 156 838 1850 404 85
VCDI 0 0 25 398 1042 7039 35719 48926
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60022 19333 2511 1828 691 464 0 0
OW 51 238 289 534 470 153 0 0
VODI 0 176 160 436 662 307 2 0
ODI 0 97 90 247 429 749 39 0
CDI 0 106 72 209 708 1535 375 41
VCDI 0 107 218 611 1251 7149 35713 48975


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ti. 30. mai 23:30:07 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy