Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-03-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60762 20085 1841 724 344 181 0 0
OW 52 487 498 484 276 72 0 0
VODI 0 108 290 625 426 125 0 0
ODI 0 78 76 239 380 205 2 0
CDI 0 61 97 167 504 647 20 0
VCDI 0 4 76 188 709 4886 8314 5067
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59770 20376 2098 1237 626 228 0 0
OW 52 481 445 372 429 114 0 0
VODI 0 158 330 429 403 181 7 0
ODI 0 65 117 200 317 273 18 0
CDI 0 50 64 199 467 906 50 0
VCDI 0 27 52 170 749 5341 8135 4164
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60841 19946 1934 1277 362 266 0 0
OW 51 148 416 647 324 89 0 0
VODI 0 36 153 460 651 151 10 0
ODI 0 6 60 151 692 341 31 0
CDI 0 0 12 162 578 1544 144 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 519 4846 7529 4692
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56354 23932 2781 960 275 231 2 0
OW 52 221 461 569 295 90 8 0
VODI 0 104 171 520 497 178 13 0
ODI 0 26 88 236 505 280 28 0
CDI 0 6 59 196 560 606 110 0
VCDI 0 0 3 46 569 4764 8659 4645
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56354 23911 2802 982 300 242 2 0
OW 52 244 423 510 260 81 8 0
VODI 0 98 189 543 489 173 12 0
ODI 0 25 79 241 503 289 23 0
CDI 0 11 60 187 585 623 100 0
VCDI 0 0 10 64 564 4741 8675 4645

Date: 2015-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57903 21776 2553 1304 375 264 0 0
OW 52 185 343 568 374 117 7 0
VODI 0 53 235 520 504 230 17 0
ODI 0 16 52 241 502 291 69 0
CDI 0 2 44 216 595 699 256 0
VCDI 0 0 5 51 394 4654 8483 5150
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57903 21805 2608 1307 383 266 0 0
OW 52 159 302 595 305 102 7 0
VODI 0 47 226 471 492 235 19 0
ODI 0 18 47 263 544 287 53 0
CDI 0 3 42 182 599 678 228 0
VCDI 0 0 7 82 421 4687 8525 5150

Date: 2015-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57611 21059 3261 1234 308 261 0 0
OW 52 140 344 771 246 93 0 0
VODI 0 42 147 760 680 140 0 0
ODI 0 7 96 240 784 398 0 0
CDI 0 0 8 215 513 1525 207 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 374 3738 8545 5279
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57611 20929 3195 1499 408 305 0 0
OW 52 149 242 587 358 132 0 0
VODI 0 86 184 516 590 241 2 0
ODI 0 42 85 231 469 416 26 0
CDI 0 39 75 163 485 969 108 0
VCDI 0 3 75 246 595 4092 8616 5279

Date: 2015-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58427 20324 2582 1671 462 230 20 0
OW 53 104 223 638 298 112 16 0
VODI 0 47 134 562 614 196 12 0
ODI 0 2 57 261 699 497 27 0
CDI 0 0 21 168 647 1206 246 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 723 3815 8220 5741
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58428 20288 2544 1767 588 273 18 0
OW 52 95 237 551 343 146 26 0
VODI 0 67 111 530 617 250 15 0
ODI 0 27 52 219 498 522 37 0
CDI 0 0 64 145 595 948 135 0
VCDI 0 0 9 133 802 3917 8310 5741

Date: 2015-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59019 19515 2715 1633 476 214 4 0
OW 53 112 341 564 335 155 22 0
VODI 0 40 197 460 672 257 27 0
ODI 0 4 83 345 640 483 22 0
CDI 0 0 25 251 673 1268 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 103 694 4131 7762 5656
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59020 19520 2704 1717 609 289 7 0
OW 52 108 324 541 347 131 36 0
VODI 0 39 216 447 657 259 24 0
ODI 0 4 85 292 602 443 29 0
CDI 0 0 29 224 584 1294 87 0
VCDI 0 0 3 135 691 4092 7803 5656


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