Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-03-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59272 20843 2268 894 208 129 0 0
OW 53 558 466 532 265 56 0 0
VODI 0 232 250 478 407 121 0 0
ODI 0 88 72 285 441 237 8 0
CDI 0 68 76 196 536 743 53 0
VCDI 0 22 173 318 736 4460 8794 4762
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57084 22824 1997 943 396 181 0 0
OW 52 806 483 320 400 94 4 0
VODI 0 267 406 371 282 211 16 0
ODI 0 104 120 313 316 295 29 0
CDI 0 93 67 268 443 897 125 0
VCDI 0 50 182 457 772 4032 9301 4099
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60993 19978 2169 780 257 197 4 0
OW 52 211 577 595 239 64 14 0
VODI 0 106 124 510 420 114 28 0
ODI 0 73 131 288 388 267 55 0
CDI 0 0 68 232 624 1039 170 0
VCDI 0 0 3 199 532 4043 9469 4087
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56182 23434 2450 1003 290 184 90 0
OW 52 327 636 533 324 71 30 0
VODI 0 99 256 617 392 196 41 0
ODI 0 63 83 260 317 295 48 0
CDI 0 20 102 193 435 751 104 0
VCDI 0 0 45 168 811 4793 8714 4691
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56182 23401 2444 1021 310 191 92 0
OW 52 334 652 547 292 64 26 0
VODI 0 116 236 591 408 183 38 0
ODI 0 61 83 242 327 315 60 0
CDI 0 31 98 184 425 713 95 0
VCDI 0 0 59 189 807 4824 8716 4691

Date: 2015-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61348 19293 1987 1025 646 28 0 0
OW 52 335 446 463 427 55 0 0
VODI 0 141 225 545 455 138 1 0
ODI 0 74 100 186 346 223 7 0
CDI 0 58 93 164 402 677 68 0
VCDI 0 6 103 187 705 4839 8203 5049
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61348 19262 2007 1020 648 33 0 0
OW 52 301 438 521 326 49 0 0
VODI 0 154 178 510 530 127 0 0
ODI 0 92 79 162 375 248 5 0
CDI 0 81 136 104 343 624 77 0
VCDI 0 17 116 253 759 4879 8197 5049

Date: 2015-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60529 20042 2055 1301 362 285 0 0
OW 51 260 455 459 398 119 0 0
VODI 0 29 142 460 568 243 0 0
ODI 0 3 48 210 574 456 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 100 565 1732 192 0
VCDI 0 0 0 118 428 4840 8681 3388
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60528 19434 1857 1328 580 315 0 0
OW 52 575 289 311 464 182 0 0
VODI 0 226 282 357 373 369 6 0
ODI 0 35 155 153 357 351 25 0
CDI 0 35 59 226 457 1112 101 0
VCDI 0 29 58 273 664 5346 8748 3388

Date: 2015-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59655 20921 2378 1164 317 246 35 0
OW 52 109 370 660 307 104 27 0
VODI 0 31 151 452 592 187 36 0
ODI 0 6 65 159 563 370 69 0
CDI 0 0 18 130 509 1208 180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 411 4287 8942 4372
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59655 20225 2030 1120 502 338 39 0
OW 52 467 345 431 336 153 30 0
VODI 0 220 349 425 340 232 61 0
ODI 0 74 103 260 352 243 91 0
CDI 0 53 90 217 519 884 167 0
VCDI 0 28 65 129 650 4552 8901 4372

Date: 2015-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58674 21470 2709 1001 312 226 0 0
OW 52 167 479 602 282 87 0 0
VODI 0 68 192 586 448 164 0 0
ODI 0 18 73 311 534 188 22 0
CDI 0 2 47 221 565 571 118 0
VCDI 0 0 9 62 672 4779 8809 4580
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58674 20859 2272 1011 605 356 0 0
OW 52 412 359 311 293 120 0 0
VODI 0 258 496 526 270 176 10 0
ODI 0 94 156 351 280 204 43 0
CDI 0 63 117 326 456 487 174 0
VCDI 0 39 109 258 909 4672 8722 4580


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh ti. 30. mai 21:59:51 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy