Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-03-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59272 20854 2272 894 208 129 0 0
OW 53 566 473 533 265 56 0 0
VODI 0 240 260 487 409 135 0 0
ODI 0 89 85 301 453 265 11 0
CDI 0 68 94 222 601 889 117 5
VCDI 0 22 191 494 1401 9253 35715 49666
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57084 22844 1998 943 396 181 0 0
OW 52 824 489 320 407 94 4 0
VODI 0 286 419 378 325 217 16 0
ODI 0 118 134 343 373 326 31 0
CDI 0 95 96 314 550 1090 179 47
VCDI 0 50 212 677 1406 8451 39544 45735
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60993 20038 2184 785 257 197 4 0
OW 52 238 594 653 245 64 14 0
VODI 0 117 138 601 517 124 28 0
ODI 0 75 151 334 532 342 59 0
CDI 0 0 106 323 811 1257 277 120
VCDI 0 0 8 518 1109 7212 36475 49496
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56182 23470 2464 1003 290 184 90 0
OW 52 348 654 538 330 71 30 0
VODI 0 110 312 741 447 208 41 0
ODI 0 63 109 347 439 354 55 0
CDI 0 20 133 300 568 1042 278 111
VCDI 0 0 47 438 1515 9325 36866 47473
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56182 23447 2462 1021 310 191 92 0
OW 52 352 682 556 298 64 26 0
VODI 0 120 278 725 453 194 38 0
ODI 0 61 109 323 444 376 65 0
CDI 0 31 129 295 586 995 278 125
VCDI 0 0 59 447 1498 9364 36861 47459

Date: 2015-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61348 19313 2004 1025 646 28 0 0
OW 52 341 457 473 427 55 0 0
VODI 0 150 240 688 480 147 1 0
ODI 0 77 117 318 425 254 11 0
CDI 0 58 118 282 521 792 208 128
VCDI 0 6 103 385 1531 8712 33793 51334
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61348 19286 2026 1021 648 33 0 0
OW 52 305 450 550 326 49 0 0
VODI 0 163 198 640 548 136 0 0
ODI 0 93 92 297 451 278 8 0
CDI 0 81 157 228 481 741 219 124
VCDI 0 17 116 435 1576 8751 33786 51338

Date: 2015-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60529 20124 2109 1307 362 285 0 0
OW 51 293 520 606 398 119 0 0
VODI 0 57 214 615 626 247 0 0
ODI 0 4 90 274 689 603 18 0
CDI 0 0 23 173 806 2465 347 7
VCDI 0 0 0 255 1055 12600 33621 45556
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60528 19496 1860 1328 580 315 0 0
OW 52 591 332 322 464 182 0 0
VODI 0 241 337 473 378 372 7 0
ODI 0 50 186 281 408 471 39 0
CDI 0 57 79 306 728 1462 224 15
VCDI 0 43 162 520 1378 13517 33716 45548

Date: 2015-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59655 20966 2424 1164 317 246 35 0
OW 52 118 408 771 307 104 27 0
VODI 0 51 173 634 646 193 36 0
ODI 0 13 95 210 696 449 72 0
CDI 0 0 87 183 675 1647 381 15
VCDI 0 0 6 172 1031 12338 37280 43371
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59655 20251 2038 1120 502 338 39 0
OW 52 479 361 440 336 153 30 0
VODI 0 235 409 541 342 232 61 0
ODI 0 87 114 386 382 280 92 0
CDI 0 68 105 304 670 1189 350 11
VCDI 0 28 166 343 1440 12785 37259 43375

Date: 2015-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58674 21482 2727 1001 312 226 0 0
OW 52 173 549 622 282 87 0 0
VODI 0 74 204 714 463 164 0 0
ODI 0 18 90 415 556 189 22 0
CDI 0 2 78 269 708 696 219 69
VCDI 0 0 19 217 1303 11101 36240 47031
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58674 20868 2277 1011 605 356 0 0
OW 52 419 372 312 293 120 0 0
VODI 0 263 555 548 270 176 10 0
ODI 0 97 181 421 294 204 45 0
CDI 0 63 127 453 519 569 328 67
VCDI 0 39 155 493 1643 11038 36098 47033


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ti. 30. mai 22:01:33 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy