Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-03-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 1 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 3 10 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 6 24 73 42 7
VCDI 0 0 16 147 418 918 9442 20951
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 6 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 5 24 20 1 0
CDI 0 0 3 9 39 83 18 25
VCDI 0 0 3 74 351 798 7272 23335
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 3 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 9 30 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 50 87 47 4
VCDI 0 0 0 70 333 866 7252 23297
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 4 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 6 9 0 6 0 0
ODI 0 1 10 10 7 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 13 16 52 73 34 7
VCDI 0 0 15 89 415 929 9018 21328
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 4 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 6 6 0 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 12 7 2 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 13 21 48 57 34 6
VCDI 0 0 14 91 424 952 9018 21329

Date: 2015-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 9 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 11 8 14 10 0 0
ODI 0 1 18 19 34 29 5 0
CDI 0 0 23 27 88 171 72 11
VCDI 0 0 24 142 426 1234 11521 18141
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 15 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 10 3 7 8 0 0
ODI 0 1 22 13 38 26 8 0
CDI 0 0 23 33 88 159 64 5
VCDI 0 0 23 147 429 1251 11526 18147

Date: 2015-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 45 12 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 24 33 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 12 95 83 4 0 0
ODI 0 7 17 41 153 63 1 0
CDI 0 1 39 104 217 201 95 112
VCDI 0 0 1 170 269 1201 11084 17938
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 5 6 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 13 40 41 6 0 0
ODI 0 13 20 61 82 50 2 0
CDI 0 6 22 63 172 181 84 105
VCDI 0 6 45 274 423 1232 11094 17945

Date: 2015-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 51 12 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 23 41 14 1 0 0
VODI 0 4 41 124 77 20 1 0
ODI 0 0 24 54 149 46 9 0
CDI 0 0 22 111 190 221 94 114
VCDI 0 0 0 191 482 1712 11118 17108
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 8 6 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 38 56 17 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 29 91 102 41 5 0
CDI 0 0 26 84 197 159 124 76
VCDI 0 0 19 287 593 1791 11093 17146

Date: 2015-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 26 15 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 17 4 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 55 117 40 10 1 0
ODI 0 0 30 109 75 50 12 0
CDI 0 0 12 117 108 179 212 143
VCDI 0 0 0 172 296 1246 11040 17974
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 15 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 32 25 8 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 39 109 52 41 24 0
CDI 0 0 37 128 87 163 166 21
VCDI 0 0 3 254 374 1275 11075 18096


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