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Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-01-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59642 20576 3184 1171 175 156 37 0
OW 52 192 234 660 108 31 3 0
VODI 0 123 138 605 379 40 8 0
ODI 0 57 42 345 461 90 20 0
CDI 0 38 49 187 997 399 26 0
VCDI 0 0 108 208 897 4265 8253 5144
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61321 18810 3176 823 185 216 6 0
OW 53 185 303 631 98 42 4 0
VODI 0 134 140 695 191 54 19 0
ODI 0 30 117 430 399 77 30 0
CDI 0 3 101 289 924 326 23 0
VCDI 0 0 28 289 1744 3471 8162 5571
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59339 21207 3150 1305 153 134 27 0
OW 52 114 244 697 108 13 11 0
VODI 0 22 117 600 398 38 15 0
ODI 0 3 57 360 461 130 40 0
CDI 0 0 8 299 788 483 5 0
VCDI 0 0 14 112 812 5029 7427 5328
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61482 19322 2977 1030 162 155 12 0
OW 52 133 212 838 85 18 0 0
VODI 0 45 108 749 340 28 2 0
ODI 0 9 54 342 520 126 16 0
CDI 0 0 31 226 734 597 13 0
VCDI 0 0 40 147 877 4883 7933 4802
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61482 19410 2978 1123 176 163 12 0
OW 52 74 206 746 97 16 0 0
VODI 0 22 127 760 360 47 10 0
ODI 0 3 56 339 475 129 8 0
CDI 0 0 14 222 720 618 12 0
VCDI 0 0 41 142 890 4834 7934 4802

Date: 2015-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58435 22045 3201 843 147 165 0 0
OW 53 192 407 600 98 14 0 0
VODI 0 95 223 608 312 30 0 0
ODI 0 55 104 314 481 101 6 0
CDI 0 50 68 196 667 516 7 0
VCDI 0 27 159 317 1054 4925 7614 4971
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58436 22057 3225 959 163 170 0 0
OW 52 209 365 553 118 13 0 0
VODI 0 83 238 581 332 37 1 0
ODI 0 54 104 261 473 123 9 0
CDI 0 47 68 173 658 533 11 0
VCDI 0 14 162 351 1015 4875 7606 4971

Date: 2015-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57813 23672 3425 785 117 102 14 0
OW 52 129 390 743 61 24 1 0
VODI 0 55 140 658 349 17 0 0
ODI 0 45 46 287 501 82 5 0
CDI 0 12 99 192 588 721 18 0
VCDI 0 0 13 158 774 4595 7770 4647
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57813 23284 3026 705 138 122 15 0
OW 52 280 462 475 86 14 0 0
VODI 0 145 306 538 281 51 3 0
ODI 0 80 94 391 328 137 9 0
CDI 0 70 69 344 492 435 9 0
VCDI 0 54 156 370 1065 4782 7772 4647

Date: 2015-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59831 21833 2398 946 194 117 35 0
OW 52 202 383 552 194 15 8 0
VODI 0 101 203 462 394 60 10 0
ODI 0 61 72 350 330 164 24 0
CDI 0 65 34 279 451 671 154 0
VCDI 0 12 118 243 751 3977 8902 4452
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59831 21357 2357 949 264 145 43 0
OW 52 268 321 454 233 62 6 0
VODI 0 179 199 524 330 162 27 0
ODI 0 94 93 302 253 222 82 0
CDI 0 116 61 249 475 707 156 0
VCDI 0 260 177 354 759 3706 8819 4452

Date: 2015-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54730 24284 3741 1402 175 119 72 0
OW 53 176 257 667 203 46 6 0
VODI 0 146 117 417 472 88 3 0
ODI 0 58 77 203 488 144 19 0
CDI 0 31 53 176 634 800 95 0
VCDI 0 10 91 221 692 4148 8526 5460
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54730 24028 3663 1405 273 149 76 0
OW 53 179 183 512 201 59 8 0
VODI 0 136 155 470 397 101 19 0
ODI 0 81 98 213 456 269 38 0
CDI 0 66 70 127 631 1041 110 0
VCDI 0 215 167 359 706 3726 8470 5460


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