Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-01-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 28 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 20 64 13 4
VCDI 0 0 0 64 115 481 8699 22500
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 3 38 44 13
VCDI 0 0 0 81 110 523 8672 22523
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 15 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 23 12 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 151 518 10902 20401
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 23 1 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 495 9390 22068
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 11 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 22 0 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 79 496 9385 22068

Date: 2015-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 11 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 5 0 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 21 1 37 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 0 91 103 16
VCDI 0 0 0 80 98 634 9308 21582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 9 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 3 0 5 1 0
ODI 0 0 4 20 1 42 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 0 83 90 37
VCDI 0 0 0 87 98 635 9310 21561

Date: 2015-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 15 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 12 8 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 136 547 9333 21960
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 6 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 29 0 51 42 15
VCDI 0 0 0 40 148 503 9294 21945

Date: 2015-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 10 26 14 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 126 714 8097 23088
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 12 31 62 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 126 709 8049 23082

Date: 2015-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 51 34 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 1050 10076 20804
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 4 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 5 11 77 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 1086 10026 20804


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