Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-01-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 51 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 32 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 33 36 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 35 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 23 7 43 81 36 24
VCDI 0 0 38 120 133 977 11257 19107
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 7 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 19 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 25 18 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 13 44 1 3 0 0
CDI 0 19 16 9 17 88 19 17
VCDI 0 13 57 69 114 2238 11369 17874
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 21 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 29 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 35 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 20 45 1 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 13 80 37 65 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 66 900 9339 21395
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 8 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 9 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 27 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 19 61 26 7
VCDI 0 0 0 60 114 539 8158 22950
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 8 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 8 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 27 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 14 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 12 62 28 5
VCDI 0 0 0 54 116 538 8156 22952

Date: 2015-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 0 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 5 60 20 10
VCDI 0 0 0 51 106 412 8074 23220
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 4 57 13 4
VCDI 0 0 0 54 107 416 8081 23226

Date: 2015-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 17 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 8 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 31 27 42 1
VCDI 0 0 0 24 135 475 8020 23266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 0 1 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 10 20 29 1
VCDI 0 0 0 35 166 481 8031 23266

Date: 2015-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 13 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 20 14 28 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 136 775 9146 21942
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 8 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 17 6 22 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 148 783 9152 21917

Date: 2015-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 0 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 0 24 92 11
VCDI 0 0 0 38 140 436 9887 21377
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 13 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 1 3 1 18
VCDI 0 0 0 63 139 460 9978 21370


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