Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-01-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 19 18 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 21 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 29 53 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 15 21 15 3 0 0
CDI 0 18 16 8 19 33 33 8
VCDI 0 30 54 145 127 469 7865 23007
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 21 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 23 26 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 17 61 26 0 0 0
CDI 0 6 21 15 53 10 12 10
VCDI 0 16 52 146 122 473 7924 22998
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 32 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 11 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 39 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 15 33 18 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 32 48 84 42 46 19
VCDI 0 0 0 57 175 2330 11417 17626
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 44 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 18 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 24 35 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 40 6 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 20 10 36 54 21 0
VCDI 0 0 13 98 136 932 14037 16519
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 45 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 18 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 21 36 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 43 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 19 8 38 50 19 0
VCDI 0 0 17 98 136 937 14039 16519

Date: 2015-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 29 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 34 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 48 23 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 14 30 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 13 10 12 42 138 57 34
VCDI 0 5 64 55 130 1998 11713 17591
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 28 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 27 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 46 17 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 21 38 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 11 12 10 42 106 24 27
VCDI 0 12 65 55 126 2030 11746 17598

Date: 2015-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 36 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 16 24 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 29 39 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 26 52 18 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 58 55 99 4 12
VCDI 0 0 0 2 36 1461 11605 18491
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 14 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 17 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 18 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 51 14 39 6 0
VCDI 0 0 55 92 93 1529 11603 18503

Date: 2015-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 15 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 39 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 7 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 21 89 22 2
VCDI 0 0 0 14 101 694 8878 22042
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 16 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 16 0 0 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 35 0 45 35 4
VCDI 0 0 0 128 129 740 8862 22040

Date: 2015-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 28 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 20 64 13 4
VCDI 0 0 0 64 115 481 8699 22500
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 15 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 8 37 41 1
VCDI 0 0 0 108 128 509 8671 22503


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