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Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-01-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60677 23303 2520 691 155 226 22 0
OW 63 452 559 217 90 32 2 0
VODI 0 52 336 437 99 60 8 0
ODI 0 7 108 345 113 67 11 0
CDI 0 3 55 280 270 115 25 0
VCDI 0 0 22 372 768 3303 8791 4444
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61333 22039 2601 617 283 317 22 0
OW 66 406 617 231 92 76 1 0
VODI 0 74 463 409 110 64 13 0
ODI 0 7 123 343 89 86 18 0
CDI 0 7 71 288 286 157 40 0
VCDI 0 9 104 422 849 3258 8400 4709
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60698 21757 3991 789 205 172 13 0
OW 67 159 307 413 57 19 1 0
VODI 0 86 274 676 110 36 0 0
ODI 0 30 84 406 224 59 0 0
CDI 0 29 72 184 599 82 0 0
VCDI 0 4 90 271 861 3637 8375 4263
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61234 22238 2754 615 152 103 0 0
OW 63 202 310 448 57 23 0 0
VODI 0 119 214 532 153 10 0 0
ODI 0 43 175 337 314 43 0 0
CDI 0 21 118 300 596 126 0 0
VCDI 0 1 92 445 1166 3525 8282 4289
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61234 22244 2802 661 160 120 0 0
OW 63 186 267 396 46 11 0 0
VODI 0 139 217 530 141 8 0 0
ODI 0 35 175 330 295 39 0 0
CDI 0 20 117 314 610 117 2 0
VCDI 0 0 85 446 1186 3535 8280 4289

Date: 2015-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56850 24509 4362 561 107 159 2 0
OW 51 391 390 330 24 28 0 0
VODI 0 213 298 519 151 11 0 0
ODI 0 68 206 361 328 25 0 0
CDI 0 14 172 257 692 118 1 0
VCDI 0 0 157 606 1470 3897 7371 4401
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56850 24552 4469 582 111 180 2 0
OW 51 326 320 326 34 14 0 0
VODI 0 217 259 510 168 9 0 0
ODI 0 81 199 339 350 26 0 0
CDI 0 18 174 270 704 130 5 0
VCDI 0 1 164 607 1405 3879 7367 4401

Date: 2015-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62927 20180 2880 860 115 114 0 0
OW 67 141 311 629 43 13 0 0
VODI 0 67 161 622 281 11 0 0
ODI 0 50 155 321 552 45 0 0
CDI 0 1 23 363 930 300 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 59 1100 3356 7722 4692
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62941 19924 2462 719 133 125 0 0
OW 53 206 396 376 70 10 0 0
VODI 0 125 247 527 254 17 0 0
ODI 0 68 148 387 307 39 0 0
CDI 0 49 121 341 617 136 9 0
VCDI 0 67 156 504 1640 3512 7722 4692

Date: 2015-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62111 21409 2595 670 136 59 0 0
OW 51 241 418 431 60 11 0 0
VODI 0 97 214 553 216 14 0 0
ODI 0 58 128 327 370 47 0 0
CDI 0 11 109 356 800 179 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 148 1062 3571 7934 4714
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62111 21017 2352 673 173 65 0 0
OW 51 321 338 322 103 14 0 0
VODI 0 181 251 462 251 39 0 0
ODI 0 107 179 229 330 43 0 0
CDI 0 88 165 275 493 176 2 0
VCDI 0 102 179 524 1294 3544 7932 4714

Date: 2015-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60792 22334 2241 895 135 56 4 0
OW 51 372 435 527 78 14 6 0
VODI 0 107 267 538 267 11 9 0
ODI 0 49 106 338 413 37 11 0
CDI 0 34 88 285 759 199 2 0
VCDI 0 4 67 237 1171 4184 7319 4658
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60791 21633 2160 1283 200 62 11 0
OW 52 398 191 325 230 10 4 0
VODI 0 317 198 186 427 33 4 0
ODI 0 170 150 143 375 80 6 0
CDI 0 135 155 213 396 356 13 0
VCDI 0 247 350 670 1195 3960 7313 4658


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