Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-01-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 5 60 28 0 0
CDI 0 4 21 19 295 211 9 0
VCDI 0 0 53 188 985 8077 15571 20321
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 9 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 61 57 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 70 209 222 17 5
VCDI 0 0 0 161 856 8137 15308 20705
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 16 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 35 39 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 130 233 220 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 86 736 11246 17394 15623
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 18 24 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 14 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 26 56 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 141 193 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 689 10568 18720 15317
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 16 28 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 15 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 27 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 141 196 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 689 10573 18720 15317

Date: 2015-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 77 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 17 84 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 25 288 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 228 8067 18023 19013
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 78 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 22 85 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 20 303 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 228 8050 18017 19013

Date: 2015-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 14 72 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 23 254 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 411 5912 19354 19766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 5 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 12 88 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 22 292 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 409 5826 19333 19766

Date: 2015-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 26 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 115 136 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 90 536 7323 20851 16781
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 18 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 73 88 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 88 581 7368 20854 16781

Date: 2015-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 25 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 125 122 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 569 6804 20237 17900
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 111 84 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 41 602 6877 20235 17900


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