Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-12-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 24 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 14 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 57 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 10 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 45 120 34 8
VCDI 0 0 0 8 262 1445 11677 18282
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 16 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 27 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 17 26 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 15 39 15 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 43 43 110 36 16
VCDI 0 73 123 228 251 2858 9990 18107
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 62 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 28 34 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 71 117 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 103 62 33 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 90 62 73 124 25 16
VCDI 0 0 11 132 248 2061 10508 18098
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 105 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 21 73 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 126 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 78 100 52 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 44 169 110 130 98 8
VCDI 0 0 13 145 231 1665 11804 17046
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 109 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 16 81 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 105 12 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 80 97 52 28 1 0
CDI 0 0 55 178 101 127 98 6
VCDI 0 0 3 138 237 1666 11803 17048

Date: 2014-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 91 56 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 22 90 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 7 153 15 1 0 0
ODI 0 87 52 105 63 24 0 0
CDI 0 19 117 112 151 160 19 13
VCDI 0 0 73 170 334 2049 9675 18301
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 108 65 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 15 95 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 5 136 18 2 0 0
ODI 0 88 40 89 58 19 0 0
CDI 0 20 117 108 129 146 23 16
VCDI 0 0 85 177 358 2067 9671 18298

Date: 2014-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 195 119 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 91 208 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 103 313 58 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 36 74 186 76 2 0
CDI 0 0 14 88 229 453 79 13
VCDI 0 0 0 78 284 1745 9151 18430
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 61 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 33 75 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 13 132 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 50 40 102 54 35 3 0
CDI 0 8 96 181 172 170 49 15
VCDI 0 1 120 268 519 2071 9180 18428

Date: 2014-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 185 62 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 92 49 123 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 64 390 58 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 44 172 146 38 0 0
CDI 0 1 15 96 154 273 49 32
VCDI 0 0 0 92 364 1716 9363 18455
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 116 37 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 28 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 29 109 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 16 111 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 27 68 201 75 94 20 5
VCDI 0 0 56 431 647 1933 9392 18482

Date: 2014-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 108 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 79 118 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 131 274 48 3 0 0
ODI 0 4 147 228 120 37 2 0
CDI 0 0 68 78 177 210 44 1
VCDI 0 0 18 181 502 1960 8752 18640
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 69 26 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 33 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 89 69 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 51 97 3 8 0 0
CDI 0 26 101 77 41 66 29 2
VCDI 0 15 251 634 803 2136 8769 18639


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