Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-11-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 91 56 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 173 73 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 122 149 36 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 151 62 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 46 214 99 56 30
VCDI 0 0 0 37 277 2527 9007 18745
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 92 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 41 62 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 62 133 36 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 25 175 73 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 97 124 128 23 11
VCDI 0 0 0 59 251 1536 9997 19092
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 200 75 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 122 83 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 69 121 42 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 82 91 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 35 112 193 17 9
VCDI 0 0 2 51 330 2938 8953 18460
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 45 76 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 44 81 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 62 166 55 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 94 67 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 56 99 74 21 5
VCDI 0 0 0 42 215 1574 9906 19360
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 45 83 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 42 101 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 57 143 40 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 88 66 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 54 95 63 19 5
VCDI 0 0 0 49 232 1593 9908 19360

Date: 2014-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 41 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 77 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 58 132 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 43 110 30 5 0 0
CDI 0 10 40 81 74 102 33 19
VCDI 0 0 29 145 487 3689 9629 16998
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 90 49 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 74 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 56 128 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 34 99 22 2 0 0
CDI 0 15 34 67 66 88 41 17
VCDI 0 1 41 168 501 3706 9621 17000

Date: 2014-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 69 66 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 54 45 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 187 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 162 63 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 162 62 55 13
VCDI 0 0 0 97 409 2805 8412 19327
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 58 21 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 36 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 31 32 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 32 106 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 11 126 52 27 36 13
VCDI 0 0 7 297 579 2840 8431 19327

Date: 2014-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 32 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 39 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 47 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 42 38 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 40 138 23 13
VCDI 0 0 0 147 242 2361 8030 20782
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 25 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 27 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 21 31 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 16 31 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 24 30 82 20 13
VCDI 0 0 0 210 258 2415 8033 20782

Date: 2014-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 24 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 14 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 57 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 10 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 45 120 34 8
VCDI 0 0 0 8 262 1445 11677 18282
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 19 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 31 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 19 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 28 65 48 25
VCDI 0 0 0 52 270 1494 11663 18265


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