Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-11-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 688 6619 1307 247 2 0 0 0
OW 0 511 422 207 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 369 388 47 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 75 499 256 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 298 569 113 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 299 1029 6787 11639 13295
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 382 5232 1458 259 11 0 0 0
OW 0 807 531 342 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 239 349 372 110 10 0 0
ODI 0 2 161 338 246 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 13 300 659 163 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 141 1301 5747 11204 15385
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 4791 1285 245 4 0 0 0
OW 0 732 770 468 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 158 336 682 234 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 246 354 81 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 187 697 432 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 96 869 6378 11227 15471
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3236 808 142 33 2 0 0
OW 0 1174 631 493 106 42 0 0
VODI 0 358 516 702 187 115 0 0
ODI 0 6 124 414 454 167 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 161 545 294 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 1129 5838 12037 16079
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3544 871 178 46 12 0 0
OW 0 816 586 385 103 31 0 0
VODI 0 404 488 733 156 103 0 0
ODI 0 10 130 407 391 183 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 182 557 291 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 97 1201 5838 12037 16079

Date: 2014-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2172 638 120 1 0 0 0
OW 0 753 569 372 61 75 0 0
VODI 0 524 550 677 501 167 0 0
ODI 0 18 147 364 615 212 0 0
CDI 0 0 38 233 572 488 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 151 755 5911 12967 16215
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2576 853 201 16 15 0 0
OW 0 473 407 290 41 70 0 0
VODI 0 324 488 643 518 156 0 0
ODI 0 94 147 363 568 236 0 0
CDI 0 0 47 227 566 482 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 193 796 5894 12967 16215

Date: 2014-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2057 1023 205 2 0 0 0
OW 0 249 658 508 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 190 743 209 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 26 201 760 151 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 90 783 1445 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 133 382 5168 14835 15993
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1521 722 266 4 0 0 0
OW 0 375 427 516 57 34 0 0
VODI 0 245 452 501 491 178 3 0
ODI 0 137 180 218 713 430 16 0
CDI 0 41 84 144 381 811 19 0
VCDI 0 0 32 235 505 5311 14824 15993

Date: 2014-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1136 544 103 4 0 0 0
OW 0 237 388 254 129 20 0 0
VODI 0 206 359 511 447 189 0 0
ODI 0 36 149 300 378 271 18 0
CDI 0 0 1 109 336 693 142 0
VCDI 0 0 0 113 689 7325 16494 14285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1118 491 119 82 10 0 0
OW 0 116 228 160 361 140 0 0
VODI 0 225 337 201 394 542 105 0
ODI 0 96 210 497 175 631 194 0
CDI 0 60 156 162 235 1048 195 0
VCDI 0 0 19 251 736 6127 16160 14285

Date: 2014-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1004 226 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 173 230 75 80 1 0 0
VODI 0 232 351 321 142 58 0 0
ODI 0 119 219 523 211 257 1 0
CDI 0 0 65 344 341 715 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 119 849 7445 14526 17183
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1113 278 47 92 18 0 0
OW 0 99 190 50 94 95 0 0
VODI 0 170 193 184 168 529 0 0
ODI 0 100 237 546 176 769 47 0
CDI 0 46 187 356 207 948 199 0
VCDI 0 0 6 219 886 6117 14317 17183


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh ti. 30. mai 14:20:07 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy