Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-11-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73893 25409 4625 694 231 0 0 0
OW 44 489 727 424 142 9 0 0
VODI 0 104 531 885 234 43 0 0
ODI 0 1 74 643 574 192 0 1
CDI 0 0 13 466 915 990 135 22
VCDI 0 0 0 202 1785 14506 29162 28883
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73076 25097 4690 697 121 10 0 0
OW 45 682 874 486 139 3 0 0
VODI 0 101 483 916 308 16 0 0
ODI 0 3 80 698 470 90 0 0
CDI 0 0 24 448 967 703 51 81
VCDI 0 0 1 396 2223 11072 27113 34884
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73923 25097 4048 880 178 35 0 0
OW 35 292 777 692 158 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 196 1006 420 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 535 630 166 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 320 912 914 31 35
VCDI 0 0 2 228 1353 10620 27934 35581
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72280 24652 4471 690 213 15 0 0
OW 35 751 877 563 102 3 0 0
VODI 0 110 593 966 187 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 39 772 645 75 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 379 973 358 117 26
VCDI 0 0 0 406 2008 12044 27475 35183
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72280 24641 4462 766 231 15 0 0
OW 35 660 864 447 96 5 0 0
VODI 0 212 608 927 207 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 42 798 555 68 0 0
CDI 0 0 11 452 994 369 118 31
VCDI 0 0 0 386 2045 12034 27474 35178

Date: 2014-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71245 24524 3722 921 220 8 0 0
OW 50 964 746 546 139 4 0 0
VODI 0 398 626 831 305 25 0 0
ODI 0 3 189 833 548 87 0 0
CDI 0 0 21 500 1085 508 82 29
VCDI 0 0 3 303 1981 12504 25345 37753
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71245 24463 3666 965 250 9 0 0
OW 50 853 682 480 136 4 0 0
VODI 0 529 668 807 287 26 0 0
ODI 0 44 245 794 500 84 0 0
CDI 0 0 45 553 1013 471 84 23
VCDI 0 0 1 335 2092 12542 25343 37759

Date: 2014-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72040 22948 4520 910 165 0 0 0
OW 38 743 971 967 140 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 216 1081 472 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 614 1088 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 222 1442 1196 47 9
VCDI 0 0 0 150 1496 11168 25205 38994
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72000 22209 3829 802 215 3 0 0
OW 78 944 710 606 180 15 0 0
VODI 0 576 708 627 383 27 0 0
ODI 0 57 400 662 515 86 1 0
CDI 0 0 68 604 1017 558 44 7
VCDI 0 0 0 643 2493 11778 25207 38996

Date: 2014-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72818 20662 3029 914 236 8 0 0
OW 50 1109 964 895 171 14 0 0
VODI 0 194 733 1264 614 58 0 0
ODI 0 0 92 589 763 148 0 0
CDI 0 0 9 294 1197 777 9 5
VCDI 0 0 1 175 1795 13582 26805 37074
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72816 20243 2828 1005 352 20 0 0
OW 52 1039 812 605 265 45 0 0
VODI 0 529 659 853 500 143 0 0
ODI 0 153 385 552 450 217 0 0
CDI 0 1 126 660 921 573 60 9
VCDI 0 0 18 456 2288 13589 26754 37070

Date: 2014-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70462 20400 3701 639 194 33 0 0
OW 52 936 1034 1018 116 114 0 0
VODI 0 474 749 1454 530 155 0 0
ODI 0 8 215 642 882 212 0 0
CDI 0 0 60 437 983 971 15 11
VCDI 0 0 8 352 1809 11451 28003 38928
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70462 20138 3771 725 227 118 0 0
OW 52 779 792 955 313 110 0 0
VODI 0 633 589 1143 540 366 0 0
ODI 0 231 315 583 523 345 0 0
CDI 0 22 218 539 831 794 68 105
VCDI 0 15 82 597 2080 11203 27950 38834


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ti. 30. mai 13:46:53 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy