Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-11-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 392 512 66 15 0 0 0
OW 0 268 138 40 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 123 411 185 139 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 138 303 136 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 150 313 200 33 10
VCDI 0 0 0 134 372 5953 11718 10298
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 609 282 55 9 0 0 0
OW 0 304 109 28 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 164 305 103 100 3 0 0
ODI 0 9 150 338 144 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 10 177 168 169 18 7
VCDI 0 0 1 96 339 3581 9443 15316
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 947 541 107 37 0 0 0
OW 0 32 375 191 69 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 61 249 183 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 148 237 106 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 110 251 523 97 20
VCDI 0 0 0 22 173 4897 11264 11428
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 206 567 95 55 7 0 0
OW 0 59 171 92 30 10 0 0
VODI 0 2 87 298 162 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 152 202 282 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 195 581 71 9
VCDI 0 0 0 8 113 4673 12490 11401
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 232 579 91 39 3 0 0
OW 0 35 169 123 35 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 75 296 201 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 130 180 276 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 26 170 604 86 6
VCDI 0 0 0 9 132 4646 12475 11404

Date: 2014-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 165 293 80 32 6 0 0
OW 0 60 94 90 32 28 0 0
VODI 0 0 72 200 24 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 200 127 37 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 34 277 379 128 20
VCDI 0 0 0 10 95 3214 15459 10895
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 194 325 105 29 0 0 0
OW 0 31 87 86 34 24 0 0
VODI 0 0 47 228 27 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 162 150 52 0 3
CDI 0 0 0 27 248 444 145 23
VCDI 0 0 0 6 99 3139 15442 10890

Date: 2014-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 177 474 149 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 117 158 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 37 219 75 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 93 204 31 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 34 160 481 27 98
VCDI 0 0 0 23 118 3142 9332 16898
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 251 110 0 0 0 0
OW 0 67 179 37 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 177 153 62 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 18 195 73 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 84 203 236 9 47
VCDI 0 0 1 97 187 3367 9350 16949

Date: 2014-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 155 319 112 3 0 0 0
OW 0 19 119 153 39 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 26 144 82 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 68 120 53 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 112 248 97 24
VCDI 0 0 0 26 130 1603 10810 17535
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 122 154 48 12 0 0 0
OW 0 38 124 45 25 3 0 0
VODI 0 14 148 176 44 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 36 127 78 68 6 0
CDI 0 0 4 90 148 145 106 16
VCDI 0 0 0 66 179 1678 10801 17543

Date: 2014-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 91 56 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 173 73 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 122 149 36 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 151 62 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 46 214 99 56 30
VCDI 0 0 0 37 277 2527 9007 18745
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 44 31 7 0 0 0
OW 0 17 115 56 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 122 136 104 31 0 0
ODI 0 7 48 81 61 117 13 0
CDI 0 0 28 92 92 140 107 4
VCDI 0 0 0 90 328 2366 8943 18771


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