Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-11-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73877 27554 4941 541 164 8 0 0
OW 41 580 734 276 82 20 0 0
VODI 0 342 752 836 300 44 0 0
ODI 0 63 324 930 658 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 33 480 1399 663 35 10
VCDI 0 0 8 383 1742 14252 25669 29243
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75152 26611 3935 538 150 0 0 0
OW 41 811 697 273 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 327 679 656 198 10 0 0
ODI 0 195 408 838 561 39 0 0
CDI 0 18 162 701 1014 430 18 7
VCDI 0 18 45 515 2417 12680 23038 33815
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73215 28701 4477 614 165 7 0 0
OW 29 328 973 560 129 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 400 895 345 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 70 796 844 132 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 330 1676 723 97 20
VCDI 0 0 12 179 2275 13231 23779 31944
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73358 26923 4369 649 198 7 0 0
OW 43 345 922 389 119 10 0 0
VODI 0 63 497 948 354 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 77 648 646 314 0 0
CDI 0 0 32 490 1024 875 72 9
VCDI 0 0 0 252 2468 13465 25918 31521
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73358 26986 4421 677 185 3 0 0
OW 43 290 839 381 129 10 0 0
VODI 0 49 511 917 417 60 0 0
ODI 0 6 88 615 597 309 0 0
CDI 0 0 36 463 946 888 87 6
VCDI 0 0 2 323 2535 13444 25903 31524

Date: 2014-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72891 26223 4247 697 224 11 0 0
OW 44 594 752 414 136 40 0 0
VODI 0 95 521 895 190 74 0 0
ODI 0 6 71 679 456 104 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 478 943 817 130 20
VCDI 0 0 0 199 1704 12265 32913 28214
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72891 26116 4337 762 233 6 0 0
OW 44 610 644 362 130 40 0 0
VODI 0 179 469 827 199 88 0 0
ODI 0 13 130 665 472 112 0 3
CDI 0 0 11 433 897 871 149 23
VCDI 0 0 0 313 1722 12194 32894 28209

Date: 2014-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73447 25618 4639 804 156 8 0 0
OW 33 180 821 642 106 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 184 1183 280 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 501 835 122 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 348 1137 1426 32 98
VCDI 0 0 0 173 1224 11484 26127 35399
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73433 24790 4038 761 188 13 0 0
OW 47 669 841 318 153 13 0 0
VODI 0 323 583 814 236 71 0 0
ODI 0 18 129 772 370 153 0 0
CDI 0 0 61 483 780 651 39 47
VCDI 0 0 10 503 2011 12160 26120 35450

Date: 2014-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72417 25731 4192 802 154 36 0 0
OW 35 469 972 650 130 4 0 0
VODI 0 14 325 948 361 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 618 638 130 6 0
CDI 0 0 7 380 809 578 109 24
VCDI 0 0 3 282 1601 9962 28566 36029
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72417 25060 3696 720 243 41 0 0
OW 35 716 766 310 98 37 0 0
VODI 0 422 762 821 158 107 0 0
ODI 0 16 240 790 504 136 6 0
CDI 0 0 47 488 764 436 108 16
VCDI 0 0 11 551 1926 9996 28567 36037

Date: 2014-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73580 23668 3194 790 205 34 0 0
OW 50 798 842 468 126 5 0 0
VODI 0 307 710 828 209 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 110 854 501 85 1 0
CDI 0 0 12 504 1035 348 75 30
VCDI 0 0 6 460 1869 12796 25340 37163
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73578 23214 3024 814 303 75 0 0
OW 52 756 627 408 118 55 1 0
VODI 0 612 624 594 263 126 9 0
ODI 0 184 368 634 386 224 26 0
CDI 0 7 151 570 911 497 135 4
VCDI 0 0 80 884 1964 12336 25245 37189


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ti. 30. mai 13:13:42 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy